Changwon City vs Gangneung – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K3 League - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
21
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
70
Red Cards
01
Total shots
21
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
70
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 1, ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Changwon City
26.1%
Draw
35.2%
Gangneung
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 27.6% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 26.8% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changwon City's form might have worsened.
  • Gangneung has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gangneung's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changwon City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gangneung, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Changwon City - Gangneung Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.32
    (2.12)
    3.21
    (3.28)
    2.92
    (3.02)
    -11.4%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Changwon City - Gangneung?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Changwon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Changwon City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 2.
    • Changwon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gangneung City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Changwon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Changwon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changwon City - Gangneung were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Gangneung - Changwon City 1:0
    05.10.2024 Gangneung - Changwon City 1:0
    09.06.2024 Changwon City - Gangneung 2:1
    14.07.2023 Changwon City - Gangneung 1:2
    02.04.2023 Gangneung - Changwon City 0:1
    Latest results of Changwon City
    Latest results of Gangneung
    06.09.2025 Gangneung - Chuncheon 2:4
    31.08.2025 Paju Frontier - Gangneung 2:1
    23.08.2025 Gyeongju KH&NP - Gangneung 2:1
    16.08.2025 Gimhae - Gangneung 2:0
    25.07.2025 Gangneung - Daejeon Korail 4:3
    South Korean K3 League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Siheung Citizen33005:239
    2Busan Kyotong32105:237
    3Ulsan Citizen32015:326
    4Daejeon Korail31206:425
    5Yangpyeong31207:615
    6Yeoju Citizen31113:304
    7Changwon31112:204
    8Gangneung31112:3-14
    9Pocheon31112:3-14
    10Gyeongju KHNP31024:5-13
    11Dangjin Citizen31023:4-13
    12Mokpo30213:4-12
    13Jeonbuk 230124:6-21
    14Chuncheon30035:9-40

          K3 League (Relegation)