Changwon City vs Paju Citizen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K3 League Changwon City - Paju Citizen
Result
0:1
25/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K3 League - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
02
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
102
Total shots
02
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
01
Corner Kicks
102
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Kim Jeong-Su ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Changwon City
41.4%
Draw
29.3%
Paju Citizen
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 26.8% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 25.4% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Paju Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changwon City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Citizen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Changwon City - Paju Citizen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.96)
    3.11
    (3.4)
    3.1
    (3.4)
    9.9%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Changwon City - Paju Citizen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Changwon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 12)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 2.
    • In recent matches, Changwon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paju Citizen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Changwon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Changwon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Changwon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changwon City - Paju Citizen were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Paju Citizen - Changwon City 1:2
    30.03.2024 Changwon City - Paju Citizen 1:2
    19.08.2023 Paju Citizen - Changwon City 1:2
    21.04.2023 Changwon City - Paju Citizen 0:0
    Latest results of Changwon City
    Latest results of Paju Citizen
    South Korean K3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Siheung Citizen17123232:151739
    2Pocheon18123333:171639
    3Gimhae18114330:161437
    4Busan Kyotong17102522:18432
    5Daejeon Korail1894534:221231
    6Gyeongju KHNP1783623:22127
    7Changwon1974818:17125
    8Yangpyeong1874716:16025
    9Gangneung1866628:28024
    10Yeoju Citizen1873817:20-324
    11Chuncheon18711019:21-222
    12Paju Citizen1854915:24-919
    13Jeonbuk 218351018:35-1714
    14Ulsan Citizen17231213:27-149
    15Mokpo17131313:33-206