Changwon City vs Paju Citizen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K3 League Changwon City - Paju Citizen
Result
0:1
25/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K3 League - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
02
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
102
Total shots
02
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
01
Corner Kicks
102
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Kim Jeong-Su ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Changwon City
41.4%
Draw
29.3%
Paju Citizen
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 26.8% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 25.4% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Paju Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changwon City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Citizen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Changwon City - Paju Citizen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.96)
    3.11
    (3.4)
    3.1
    (3.4)
    9.9%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Changwon City - Paju Citizen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Changwon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 12)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 2.
    • In recent matches, Changwon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paju Citizen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Changwon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Changwon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Changwon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changwon City - Paju Citizen were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Paju Citizen - Changwon City 1:2
    30.03.2024 Changwon City - Paju Citizen 1:2
    19.08.2023 Paju Citizen - Changwon City 1:2
    21.04.2023 Changwon City - Paju Citizen 0:0
    Latest results of Changwon City
    Latest results of Paju Citizen
    South Korean K3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimhae21144335:161946
    2Pocheon20134336:181843
    3Siheung Citizen20134336:181843
    4Daejeon Korail21105636:241235
    5Busan Kyotong20112726:23335
    6Gyeongju KHNP20104627:23434
    7Yangpyeong2094719:16331
    8Changwon2185819:17229
    9Chuncheon21821120:22-226
    10Gangneung2166930:34-424
    11Yeoju Citizen20731018:23-524
    12Paju Citizen21641118:29-1122
    13Jeonbuk 218351018:35-1714
    14Ulsan Citizen20341315:29-1413
    15Mokpo20141513:39-267