Seoul Samsung Thunders vs Changwon LG Sakers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
79:107
05/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KBL

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7568
Field goals made
2640
Field goals %
34.67%58.82%
2-point field goals attempts
4239
2-point field goals made
1625
2-point field goals %
38.1%64.1%
3-point field goals attempts
3329
3-point field goals made
1015
3-point field goals %
30.3%51.72%
Free throws attempts
1815
Free throws made
1712
Free throws %
94.4%80%
Offensive rebounds
77
Defensive rebounds
2035
Total rebounds
2742
Assists
1727
Blocks
14
Turnovers
412
Steals
92
Personal fouls
1720

Chances of winning


Seoul Samsung Thunders
24%
Changwon LG Sakers
76%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 59.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seoul Samsung Thunders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seoul Samsung Thunders's form might have worsened.
  • Changwon LG Sakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Changwon LG Sakers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seoul Samsung Thunders than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seoul Samsung Thunders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changwon LG Sakers than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Changwon LG Sakers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Seoul Samsung Thunders - Changwon LG Sakers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (3.15)

    1.23
    (1.32)
    6.9%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 152.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Seoul Samsung Thunders - Changwon LG Sakers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 159.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 160.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 161.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 162.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 163.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +7.5, OT - Seoul Thunders (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Seoul Samsung Thunders will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Seoul Samsung Thunders will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Seoul Thunders (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 73:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul Thunders won 0.
    • Seoul Thunders has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Changwon Sakers is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Changwon Sakers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Changwon Sakers has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Changwon Sakers is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seoul Thunders won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1465:1731. (average 73.3:86.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seoul Thunders won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 769:861. (average 76.9:86.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seoul Samsung Thunders - Changwon LG Sakers were as follows:
    07.01.2026 Changwon LG Sakers - Seoul Samsung Thunders 83:70
    02.01.2026 Seoul Samsung Thunders - Changwon LG Sakers 62:80
    12.11.2025 Seoul Samsung Thunders - Changwon LG Sakers 83:95
    18.10.2025 Changwon LG Sakers - Seoul Samsung Thunders 75:64
    26.03.2025 Seoul Samsung Thunders - Changwon LG Sakers 69:92
    Latest results of Seoul Samsung Thunders
    Latest results of Changwon LG Sakers
    KBL Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1LG Sakers4330133338:30840.698
    2Anyang JungKwanJang4227153137:29950.643
    3Seoul Knights4327163411:32340.628
    4Wonju DB4226163336:33110.619
    5KCC Egis4221213452:35160.500
    6Suwon KT4321223334:34100.488
    7Goyang Sono4320233360:32850.465
    8Mobis Phoebus4215273082:32760.357
    9Seoul Thunders4313303439:35840.302
    10KoGas4313303237:34310.302

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