Chapecoense vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Bahia
30/09/2022 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
38.1%
Draw
32.9%
Bahia
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 34.3% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 36.9% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chapecoense's performance.
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapecoense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chapecoense - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (3)
    2.83
    (2.75)
    3.2
    (2.75)
    7.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Latest results of Chapecoense
    25.09.2022 Criciúma - Chapecoense 2:0
    17.09.2022 Chapecoense - CS Alagoano 1:0
    10.09.2022 Londrina - Chapecoense 2:1
    03.09.2022 Chapecoense - Ponte Preta 3:0
    29.08.2022 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 1:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    12.09.2022 Sport Recife - Bahia 1:0
    08.09.2022 Criciúma - Bahia 0:0
    03.09.2022 Bahia - Tombense 3:1
    31.08.2022 Ponte Preta - Bahia 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Goias30149734:26851
    3Criciuma30148839:261350
    4Athletico-PR29146943:36748
    5Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    6Novorizontino301211732:27547
    7Cuiaba301210837:34346
    8CRB301341334:30443
    9Remo291012733:28542
    10Atletico GO291012731:28342
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR291091031:28339
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14America MG301061432:36-436
    15Ferroviaria308121034:39-536
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Volta Redonda307101319:31-1231
    18Botafogo SP30781525:46-2129
    19Amazonas306101431:46-1528
    20Paysandu PA305111426:36-1026

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