Chapecoense vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Bahia
30/09/2022 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
38.1%
Draw
32.9%
Bahia
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 34.3% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 36.9% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chapecoense's performance.
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapecoense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chapecoense - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (3)
    2.83
    (2.75)
    3.2
    (2.75)
    7.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Latest results of Chapecoense
    25.09.2022 Criciúma - Chapecoense 2:0
    17.09.2022 Chapecoense - CS Alagoano 1:0
    10.09.2022 Londrina - Chapecoense 2:1
    03.09.2022 Chapecoense - Ponte Preta 3:0
    29.08.2022 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 1:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    12.09.2022 Sport Recife - Bahia 1:0
    08.09.2022 Criciúma - Bahia 0:0
    03.09.2022 Bahia - Tombense 3:1
    31.08.2022 Ponte Preta - Bahia 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma1985623:17629
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10CRB1974820:18225
    11Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    12Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    13Operario-PR1965821:20123
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG19631020:26-621
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

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