Chapecoense vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Bahia
30/09/2022 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
38.1%
Draw
32.9%
Bahia
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 34.3% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 36.9% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chapecoense's performance.
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapecoense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chapecoense - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (3)
    2.83
    (2.75)
    3.2
    (2.75)
    7.6%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    25.09.2022 Criciúma - Chapecoense 2:0
    17.09.2022 Chapecoense - CS Alagoano 1:0
    10.09.2022 Londrina - Chapecoense 2:1
    03.09.2022 Chapecoense - Ponte Preta 3:0
    29.08.2022 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 1:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    12.09.2022 Sport Recife - Bahia 1:0
    08.09.2022 Criciúma - Bahia 0:0
    03.09.2022 Bahia - Tombense 3:1
    31.08.2022 Ponte Preta - Bahia 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba34179835:211460
    2Remo341512745:331257
    3Goias341510939:33655
    4Novorizontino341413737:28955
    5Chapecoense-SC331661147:321554
    6Criciuma341591044:321254
    7CRB341561341:35651
    8Athletico-PR331481145:42350
    9Cuiaba3413111041:40150
    10Avai3412121043:36748
    11Atletico GO3412121037:35248
    12Vila Nova FC3411111234:36-244
    13Operario-PR331191334:37-342
    14America MG341181537:40-341
    15Ferroviaria348151140:46-639
    16Athletic Club341071738:49-1137
    17Botafogo SP348111530:50-2035
    18Volta Redonda348101623:37-1434
    19Amazonas337111533:48-1532
    20Paysandu PA345121731:44-1327

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