Chapecoense vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 6
  • Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol
peruPeruLiga 1 Max
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
33.1%
Draw
28.8%
Grêmio
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 29.5% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 29.6% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • The chances for Grêmio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Chapecoense - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.83)
    3.28
    (3.1)
    2.48
    (2.4)
    5.7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Grêmio?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
    • In recent matches, Chapecoense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Grêmio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias (Knee Injury) Mancha (Knee Injury) Marcos Vinicius (Inactive) Mauricio Garcez (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Arthur Melo (Injury) Villasanti M. (Knee Injury) Willian (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Robert Conceicao (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Amuzu F. (Inactive) Braithwaite M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    12.03.2026 São Paulo - Chapecoense 2:0
    25.02.2026 Bahia - Chapecoense Postponed
    22.02.2026 Chapecoense - Brusque 3:0
    Latest results of Grêmio
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo651010:3716
    2Palmeiras641114:7713
    3Fluminense641110:6413
    4Bahia53206:3311
    5Flamengo RJ53119:4510
    6Coritiba63128:6210
    7Corinthians62226:608
    8Bragantino62225:6-18
    9Gremio52129:907
    10Athletico-PR52126:607
    11Vitoria52127:8-17
    12Mirassol51318:806
    13Santos61329:11-26
    14Chapecoense-SC41218:805
    15Vasco61238:10-25
    16Atletico-MG61237:10-35
    17Botafogo RJ41037:9-23
    18Remo60336:11-53
    19Cruzeiro60337:14-73
    20Internacional60243:8-52

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