Result
1:1
16/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (226/291) | 91% (521/572) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (226/291) | 91% (521/572) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 73% (45/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (52/80) | 82% (148/180) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 100% (5/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', Viery 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Clar W. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', Everton 🟨,
- 44', Bolasie Y. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Nardoni J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Monsalve M. 🟨,
- 58', Italo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 59', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 61', Amuzu F. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
- 61', Monsalve M. ↓, Willian ↑,
- 74', Tete ↓, Gabriel Mec ↑,
- 84', Joao Vitor ↓, David Antunes ↑,
- 84', Bolasie Y. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 87', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
- 90+2', Noriega E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Higor Meritao ↓, Vinicius Balieiro ↑,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
31.9% | Draw
27.9% | Grêmio
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Chapecoense - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.83) |
3.39 ↑
(3.1) |
2.36 ↓
(2.4) |
5.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
- In recent matches, Chapecoense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grêmio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
Marcos Vinicius
(Inactive)
Mauricio Garcez
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Arthur Melo
(Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
Willian
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Robert Conceicao
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Amuzu F.
(Inactive)
Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Grêmio?
Chapecoense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Chapecoense?
Grêmio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Grêmio were as follows:
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
