Chapecoense vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
27.1%
Draw
28.7%
Red Bull Bragantino
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 29.9% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 29.6% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Bragantino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chapecoense - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.88)
    3.3
    (3.08)
    2.16
    (2.42)
    5.3%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • Chapecoense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, RB Bragantino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, RB Bragantino has had a series of home games.
    • RB Bragantino could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras13102123:101332
    2Flamengo RJ1282224:101426
    3Fluminense1382323:16726
    4Sao Paulo1372417:11623
    5Athletico-PR1371520:15522
    6Bahia1263317:14321
    7Coritiba1354415:13219
    8Bragantino1352615:15017
    9Botafogo RJ1352625:26-117
    10Vasco1344518:19-116
    11Gremio1344515:16-116
    12Cruzeiro1344517:21-416
    13Vitoria1243512:17-515
    14Corinthians133649:11-215
    15Atletico-MG1342714:19-514
    16Internacional1335512:14-214
    17Santos1335518:21-314
    18Remo1425715:24-911
    19Mirassol1223713:18-59
    20Chapecoense-SC1215612:24-128

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B