Celaya vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/03/2026 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Celaya
65.4%
Draw
20.1%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.8% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 21% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Chapulineros de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapulineros de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Celaya - Chapulineros de Oaxaca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.48)
    4.55
    (4.2)
    6.31
    (5.64)
    9.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Celaya - Chapulineros de Oaxaca?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Celaya (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celaya (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Celaya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chapulineros is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Celaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Celaya is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Celaya won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Chapulineros de Oaxaca were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Celaya 0:0
    Latest results of Celaya
    07.02.2026 Deportiva Venados - Celaya 1:1
    31.01.2026 Celaya - Neza 6:0
    24.01.2026 Dragones Toluca - Celaya 0:2
    Draw
    Reserves - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cimarrones de SonoraMineros de Fresnillo1 : 1
    2Leones Negros 2Celaya0 : 5

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2