Beerschot Wilrijk vs Charleroi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League Beerschot Wilrijk - Charleroi
Result
1:1
09/02/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 25
  • Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.73
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
129
Shots on Goal
21
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
Free Kicks
1312
Offsides
02
Fouls
1213
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
1516
Touches in the Opposition Box
2530
Passes
83% (378/454)82% (439/533)
Passes in the final third
67% (87/130)70% (114/162)
Crosses
30% (3/10)30% (7/23)
Tackles
67% (8/12)56% (9/16)
Clearances Total
2713
Interceptions
1115

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Redan D. ,
  • 38', Fayed O. , Dagba C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mbenza I. , Petris J. ,
  • 46', Dragsnes V. , Nzita M. ,
  • 60', Colassin A. , van La Parra R. ,
  • 60', Martha A. , Henderson E. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Stulic N. , Heymans D. (A),
  • 69', Mbe Soh L. 🟨,
  • 70', Henderson E. 🟨,
  • 73', Guiagon P. , Asante R. A. ,
  • 77', Nzita M. 🟨,
  • 88', Stulic N. , Kyei G. ,

Chances of winning


Beerschot Wilrijk
21.9%
Draw
26.1%
Charleroi
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 25.9% 51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4% 25.6% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Charleroi aligns with the current prediction.
  • Beerschot Wilrijk - Charleroi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.31
    (4.16)
    3.66
    (3.65)
    1.83
    (1.84)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Beerschot Wilrijk - Charleroi?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Charleroi will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Beerschot Wilrijk: 18.5%61.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 1.
    • Beerschot Wilrijk has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Charleroi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Beerschot Wilrijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Charleroi is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Beerschot Wilrijk: Cagro W. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Beerschot Wilrijk: Sanusi R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charleroi: Defourny T. (Shoulder Injury) Kyei G. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:22 (average 1:3.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Beerschot Wilrijk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beerschot Wilrijk - Charleroi were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Charleroi - Beerschot Wilrijk 3:0
    Latest results of Beerschot Wilrijk
    Latest results of Charleroi
    01.02.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 5:0
    25.01.2025 Charleroi - Cercle Brugge 1:1
    17.01.2025 Gent - Charleroi 1:1
    11.01.2025 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 1:2
    26.12.2024 Kortrijk - Charleroi 0:1
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG1182122:61626
    2Club Brugge KV1172218:11723
    3Anderlecht1154217:11619
    4KV Mechelen1154216:12419
    5St. Truiden1153317:14318
    6Waregem1152417:14317
    7Gent1152418:17117
    8Genk1143416:16015
    9Westerlo1142518:20-214
    10St. Liege1142510:13-314
    11RAAL La Louviere113447:9-213
    12Charleroi1133514:17-312
    13Cercle Brugge KSV1125415:16-111
    14Antwerp1125410:13-311
    15Leuven112278:20-128
    16Dender110384:18-143

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