Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (524/594) | 79% (285/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (524/594) | 79% (285/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 77% (46/60) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (103/137) | 66% (61/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 68% (17/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Titraoui Y. ⚽, Zorgane A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Storm N. ↓, Lauberbach L. ↑,
- 60', Bernier A. ↓, Rogelj Z. ↑,
- 65', Hairemans G. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
- 65', Raman B. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
- 73', Petris J. ↓, Mbenza I. ↑,
- 73', Antonio B. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
- 73', Zekri M. ↓, Foulon D. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Lauberbach L. ⚽, Dahl P. (A),
- 81', Nzita M. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
- 81', Guiagon P. ↓, Flips A. ↑,
- 88', Hammar F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
43.1% | Draw
25.7% | Charleroi
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
KV Mechelen - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.3) |
3.71 ↑
(3.6) |
3.03 ↑
(2.87) |
5.4%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Charleroi?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
KV Mechelen will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 3.
- In recent matches, Mechelen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Charleroi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Charleroi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Foulon D.
(Calf Injury)
Ngoy J.
(Injury)
Touba A.
(Thigh Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Hernia)
- There will not play in Charleroi: Heymans D.
(Yellow Cards)
Kyei G.
(Injury)
Mbenza I.
(Injury)
Ousou A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sow M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Charleroi?
KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against KV Mechelen?
Charleroi has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Charleroi were as follows:
19.04.2025
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
3:0
08.03.2025
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
0:1
31.08.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Charleroi
5:2
27.12.2023
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
3:1
11.11.2023
KV Mechelen
-
Charleroi
1:0
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 14 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | KV Mechelen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Antwerp | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Genk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | St. Liege | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Leuven | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Charleroi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Gent | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Waregem | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Dender | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
