Result
28/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Charleroi
46.6% | Draw
25.4% | KV Mechelen
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charleroi's form might have worsened.KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charleroi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Charleroi - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.77) |
3.81 ↓
(4.1) |
3.41 ↓
(3.75) |
5.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 2.
- Charleroi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mechelen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Charleroi could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against KV Mechelen?
Charleroi has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Charleroi?
KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - KV Mechelen were as follows:
18.05.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Charleroi
1:1
19.04.2025
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
3:0
08.03.2025
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
0:1
31.08.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Charleroi
5:2
27.12.2023
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
3:1
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Charleroi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Gent | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Waregem | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Genk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Leuven | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Dender | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
