KV Mechelen vs Charleroi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League KV Mechelen - Charleroi
Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.52
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
88% (524/594)79% (285/359)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.09
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
4018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
711
Passes
88% (524/594)79% (285/359)
Long passes
77% (46/60)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
75% (103/137)66% (61/93)
Crosses
32% (9/28)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.74
Throw-ins
209
Fouls
117
Tackles
75% (9/12)68% (17/25)
Duels won
3350
Clearances
1428
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.091.27
Goals prevented
0.090.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Titraoui Y. , Zorgane A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Storm N. , Lauberbach L. ,
  • 60', Bernier A. , Rogelj Z. ,
  • 65', Hairemans G. , Bafdili B. ,
  • 65', Raman B. , Dahl P. ,
  • 73', Petris J. , Mbenza I. ,
  • 73', Antonio B. , Pflucke P. ,
  • 73', Zekri M. , Foulon D. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Lauberbach L. , Dahl P. (A),
  • 81', Nzita M. , Dragsnes V. ,
  • 81', Guiagon P. , Flips A. ,
  • 88', Hammar F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KV Mechelen
43.1%
Draw
25.7%
Charleroi
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 26.2% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 27.4% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • KV Mechelen - Charleroi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.3)
    3.71
    (3.6)
    3.03
    (2.87)
    5.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Charleroi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 3.
    • In recent matches, Mechelen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Charleroi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Charleroi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Mechelen: Foulon D. (Calf Injury) Ngoy J. (Injury) Touba A. (Thigh Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)
    • There will not play in Charleroi: Heymans D. (Yellow Cards) Kyei G. (Injury) Mbenza I. (Injury) Ousou A. (Muscle Injury) Sow M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Charleroi were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 3:0
    08.03.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 0:1
    31.08.2024 KV Mechelen - Charleroi 5:2
    27.12.2023 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 3:1
    11.11.2023 KV Mechelen - Charleroi 1:0
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    Latest results of Charleroi
    09.05.2025 Charleroi - Westerlo 4:3
    26.04.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 4:1
    22.04.2025 Dender EH - Charleroi 2:1
    19.04.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 3:0
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG32109:367
    2St. Truiden32106:247
    3St. Liege32105:237
    4KV Mechelen32104:227
    5Anderlecht32019:546
    6Club Brugge KV32015:326
    7Antwerp31205:325
    8Waregem31115:6-14
    9Westerlo31025:7-23
    10Gent31024:6-23
    11RAAL La Louviere31021:3-23
    12Charleroi30213:4-12
    13Dender30211:3-22
    14Genk30123:5-21
    15Cercle Brugge KSV30120:4-41
    16Leuven30123:10-71

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