Result
0:2
28/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 9
- Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (451/509) | 75% (238/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (451/509) | 75% (238/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (30/40) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (143/179) | 69% (52/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (7/41) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 36', 0 - 1, van Brederode M. ⚽, Diouf G. (A),
- 41', 0 - 2, Lauberbach L. ⚽, van Brederode M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gaudin J. ↓, Nzita M. ↑,
- 46', Boukamir A. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 64', Bafdili B. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
- 68', Bernier A. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
- 71', Lauberbach L. 🟨,
- 78', van Brederode M. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 79', Keita C. ↓, Asante R. ↑,
- 79', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Mbenza I. ↑,
- 84', Miras N. 🟨,
- 86', Marsa J. ↓, Struyf I. ↑,
- 90+1', Mrabti K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Servais M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/acsv33mp
Chances of winning
Charleroi
48.1% | Draw
26.3% | KV Mechelen
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charleroi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Charleroi - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.77) |
3.51 ↓
(4.1) |
3.68 ↓
(3.75) |
4.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Charleroi - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mechelen will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 2.
- Charleroi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Mechelen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Charleroi could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Sow M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki
(Surgery)
Kireev M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ozdemir H.
(Collarbone injury)
Salifou D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: St. Jago T.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against KV Mechelen?
Charleroi has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Charleroi?
KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - KV Mechelen were as follows:
18.05.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Charleroi
1:1
19.04.2025
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
3:0
08.03.2025
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
0:1
31.08.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Charleroi
5:2
27.12.2023
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
3:1
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Gent | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Waregem | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | RAAL La Louviere | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Liege | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Leuven | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
