KV Mechelen vs Charleroi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen).

Jupiler Pro League - Round 17
Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.58
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
4	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
82% (371/453)	82% (310/378)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	0.00
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
4	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
24	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
10	11
Passes
82% (371/453)	82% (310/378)
Long passes
48% (29/61)	42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
70% (91/130)	66% (64/97)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	0.86
Throw-ins
22	17
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
54% (7/13)	74% (14/19)
Duels won
42	50
Clearances
29	21
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.00	1.29
Goals prevented
0.00	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Koudou T. ⚽, Mrabti K. (A),
29', Struyf I. 🟨,
35', Mrabti K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bernier A. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
46', Guiagon P. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
65', Mrabti K. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
68', Struyf I. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
69', Salifou D. ↓, Zekri M. ↑,
69', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
70', van Brederode M. 🟨,
77', Camara E. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
77', Keita C. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
84', Scheidler A. 🟨,
85', van Brederode M. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
89', Koudou T. 🟨,
90+4', Szymczak F. 🟨,

Chances of winning

KV Mechelen
29.7%

Draw
29.3%

Charleroi
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.1%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

KV Mechelen - Charleroi Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.8)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)	5.3% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Charleroi?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Charleroi will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2.
Mechelen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Charleroi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O. (Knee Injury) Halhal R. (Ankle Injury) Kiki (Surgery) Kireev M. (Muscle Injury) Ozdemir H. (Collarbone injury) Teague R. (Knock)
There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T. (Inactive) Sow M. (Knock) Van Den Kerkhof K. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Charleroi?

KV Mechelen has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against KV Mechelen?

Charleroi has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Charleroi were as follows:

04.12.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 2:0

28.09.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 0:2

18.05.2025 KV Mechelen - Charleroi 1:1

19.04.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 3:0

08.03.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 0:1

Latest results of KV Mechelen

04.12.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 2:0 ✺

28.11.2025 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 0:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Genk - KV Mechelen 0:1 ✺

09.11.2025 KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise 1:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Charleroi

04.12.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 2:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Charleroi - RAAL La Louvière 0:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Club Brugge - Charleroi 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Charleroi - Westerlo 2:0 ✺

31.10.2025 Standard Liège - Charleroi 3:1 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG ✔	26	16	8	2	43:15	28	56
2	St. Truiden ✔	26	17	3	6	44:29	15	54
3	Club Brugge KV ✔	26	17	2	7	49:31	18	53
4	Anderlecht	26	11	7	8	34:32	2	40
5	KV Mechelen	26	10	9	7	34:29	5	39
6	Gent	26	10	6	10	41:38	3	36
7	Genk	26	9	8	9	36:40	-4	35
8	St. Liege	26	10	4	12	24:33	-9	34
9	Westerlo	26	9	7	10	34:38	-4	34
10	Charleroi	26	9	6	11	35:35	0	33
11	Antwerp	26	8	6	12	29:30	-1	30
12	Waregem	26	7	8	11	36:42	-6	29
13	Leuven	26	7	7	12	28:37	-9	28
14	Cercle Brugge KSV	26	6	9	11	34:40	-6	27
15	RAAL La Louviere	26	5	10	11	21:30	-9	25
16	Dender	26	3	8	15	21:44	-23	17

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )