Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 17
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/453) | 82% (310/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/453) | 82% (310/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (91/130) | 66% (64/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Koudou T. ⚽, Mrabti K. (A),
- 29', Struyf I. 🟨,
- 35', Mrabti K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bernier A. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
- 46', Guiagon P. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 65', Mrabti K. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
- 68', Struyf I. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
- 69', Salifou D. ↓, Zekri M. ↑,
- 69', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 70', van Brederode M. 🟨,
- 77', Camara E. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 77', Keita C. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
- 84', Scheidler A. 🟨,
- 85', van Brederode M. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 89', Koudou T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Szymczak F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
29.7% | Draw
29.3% | Charleroi
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KV Mechelen - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↑
(2.8) |
3.24 ↓
(3.3) |
2.32 ↓
(2.38) |
5.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Charleroi will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2.
- Mechelen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Charleroi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Halhal R.
(Ankle Injury)
Kiki
(Surgery)
Kireev M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ozdemir H.
(Collarbone injury)
Teague R.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T.
(Inactive)
Sow M.
(Knock)
Van Den Kerkhof K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Charleroi?
KV Mechelen has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against KV Mechelen?
Charleroi has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Charleroi were as follows:
04.12.2025
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
2:0
28.09.2025
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
0:2
18.05.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Charleroi
1:1
19.04.2025
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
3:0
08.03.2025
Charleroi
-
KV Mechelen
0:1
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33:11 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 11 | 35 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | St. Liege | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Genk | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 8 | Antwerp | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 2 | 23 |
| 9 | Gent | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Waregem | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | Charleroi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 | Leuven | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22:29 | -7 | 13 |
| 16 | Dender | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15:32 | -17 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
