Result
0:2
25/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 22
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (293/387) | 76% (255/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 0.75 | 2.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.49 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 15 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (293/387) | 76% (255/337) |
| Long passes |
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| 46% (29/63) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 60% (63/105) | 69% (68/98) |
| Crosses |
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| 13% (2/16) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.51 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
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| 24 | 28 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (18/27) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
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| 62 | 52 |
| Clearances |
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| 28 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.25 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.75 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Scheidler A. ⚽, Nzita M. (A),
- 36', Van Helden R. ↓, Tsunashima Y. ↑,
- 37', Somers T. 🟨,
- 45+1', Camara E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Guiagon P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Somers T. ↓, Adekami F. ↑,
- 58', Al Sahafi M. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
- 61', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
- 72', Foulon D. ↓, Scott C. ↑,
- 72', Dierckx X. ↓, Vandeplas G. ↑,
- 73', Janssen V. 🟨,
- 81', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 88', Bernier A. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 88', Guiagon P. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Royal Antwerp
34.2% | Draw
29.4% | Charleroi
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Royal Antwerp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Royal Antwerp's form might have worsened.Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleroi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Royal Antwerp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charleroi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Royal Antwerp - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.23) |
3.21 ↓
(3.43) |
2.63 ↓
(3.15) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Royal Antwerp - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Antwerp will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Charleroi will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antwerp: 29.1% – 70.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antwerp won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Recently, Charleroi has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Antwerp: Engels B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Hairemans G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antwerp won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Antwerp won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Royal Antwerp won against Charleroi?
Royal Antwerp has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Royal Antwerp?
Charleroi has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Royal Antwerp - Charleroi were as follows:
17.08.2025
Charleroi
-
Royal Antwerp
1:1
29.05.2025
Royal Antwerp
-
Charleroi
1:2
08.12.2024
Royal Antwerp
-
Charleroi
1:3
28.07.2024
Charleroi
-
Royal Antwerp
0:1
21.01.2024
Royal Antwerp
-
Charleroi
4:1
Latest results of Royal Antwerp
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
