Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 26
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (288/362) | 82% (330/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (288/362) | 82% (330/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (60/99) | 66% (80/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Van Den Kerkhof K. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Sayyadmanesh A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Nzita M. 🟨,
- 60', Haspolat D. 🟨,
- 66', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 66', Nsiala C. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
- 76', Ousou A. 🟨,
- 79', Bernier A. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 79', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
- 82', Alcocer J. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
- 82', Nacho ↓, Goure F. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Sakamoto I. ⚽, Sayyadmanesh A. (A),
- 90+5', Bayram E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Sakamoto I. ↓, Sydorchuk S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Westerlo
36.7% | Draw
28.4% | Charleroi
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Westerlo - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.48) |
3.31 ↑
(2.96) |
2.74 ↓
(3.15) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Westerlo - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Charleroi will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4% – 70.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Westerlo (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 0.
- Westerlo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Charleroi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Westerlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Westerlo: Bujupi E.
(Knee Injury)
Kimura S.
(Groin Injury)
Laalaoui R.
(Inactive)
Mbamba-Muanda L.
(Inactive)
Saito S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Charleroi?
Westerlo has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Westerlo?
Charleroi has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - Charleroi were as follows:
08.11.2025
Charleroi
-
Westerlo
2:0
09.05.2025
Charleroi
-
Westerlo
4:3
11.04.2025
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
2:2
22.02.2025
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
1:3
09.11.2024
Charleroi
-
Westerlo
1:0
Latest results of Westerlo
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
