Result
4:3
09/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 8
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.64 | 1.71 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
81% (353/436) | 81% (284/349) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 6 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.64 | 1.71 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.40 | 2.78 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
81% (353/436) | 81% (284/349) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (27/56) | 48% (26/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (102/152) | 63% (62/99) |
Crosses |
---|
56% (5/9) | 21% (5/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.45 | 0.76 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (11/18) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.78 | 3.40 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.22 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Stulic N. ⚽, Bernier A. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Sakamoto I. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 2, Sakamoto I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 3, Frigan M. ⚽, Devine A. (A),
- 56', Van den Keybus T. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 3, Stulic N. ⚽, Andreou S. (A),
- 63', Haspolat D. 🟨,
- 63', Van den Keybus T. ↓, Sayyadmanesh A. ↑,
- 66', Nzita M. 🟨,
- 69', Frigan M. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 3, Heymans D. (Pen),
- 74', Sayyadmanesh A. 🟨,
- 78', Sakamoto I. ↓, Slimani I. ↑,
- 78', Reynolds B. ↓, Alcocer J. ↑,
- 80', Rommens T. 🟨,
- 81', Bernier A. ↓, Rogelj Z. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 3, Keita C. ⚽, Zorgane A. (A),
- 88', Heymans D. 🟨,
- 90', Petris J. ↓, Denuit R. ↑,
- 90+2', Nzita M. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
- 90+2', Zorgane A. ↓, Camara E. ↑,
- 90+7', Haspolat D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Charleroi 57.7% | Draw 21.7% | Westerlo 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charleroi's performance.Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Westerlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Westerlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Charleroi - Westerlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (2.01) |
4.38 ↑ (3.76) |
4.59 ↑ (3.45) |
4.6% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Westerlo?
Users Predictions:
Charleroi will win
(24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charleroi will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 4.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Charleroi is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Kyei G.
(Injury)
Ousou A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Westerlo: Bos J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Haidara B.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Westerlo?
Charleroi has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Charleroi?
Westerlo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Westerlo were as follows:
11.04.2025
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
2:2
22.02.2025
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
1:3
09.11.2024
Charleroi
-
Westerlo
1:0
01.03.2024
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
0:1
25.11.2023
Charleroi
-
Westerlo
3:2
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Club Brugge KV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Dender | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | St. Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Royale Union SG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )