Result
2:0
05/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 31
- Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (428/491) | 84% (367/437) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (428/491) | 84% (367/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (30/47) | 65% (33/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (91/122) | 73% (76/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 69% (20/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.95 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Bayram E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Camara E. 🟨,
- 59', Alcocer J. 🟨,
- 60', Camara E. 🟨,
- 61', Cornelis H. 🟨,
- 62', Saito S. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
- 66', Lapage A. 🟨,
- 72', Bernier A. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 76', Alcocer J. ↓, Bohamdi-Kamoni N. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 0, Nacho ⚽, Bohamdi-Kamoni N. (A),
- 83', Pflucke P. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
- 83', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 83', Piedfort A. ↓, Sydorchuk S. ↑,
- 84', Nacho ↓, Goure F. ↑,
- 84', Sakamoto I. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Westerlo
34.2% | Draw
27.1% | Charleroi
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleroi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Westerlo - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.62) |
3.49 ↑
(3.11) |
2.47 ↓
(2.82) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Westerlo - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Charleroi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 1.
- In recent matches, Westerlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Charleroi has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Charleroi?
Westerlo has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Westerlo?
Charleroi has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - Charleroi were as follows:
22.02.2026
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
2:1
08.11.2025
Charleroi
-
Westerlo
2:0
09.05.2025
Charleroi
-
Westerlo
4:3
11.04.2025
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
2:2
22.02.2025
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
1:3
Latest results of Westerlo
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
