Charleroi vs Westerlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi).

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 8
Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.64	1.71
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
8	6
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
81% (353/436)	81% (284/349)
Yellow Cards
2	6
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64	1.71
xG on target (xGOT)
3.40	2.78
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
11	11
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
31	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
81% (353/436)	81% (284/349)
Long passes
48% (27/56)	48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
67% (102/152)	63% (62/99)
Crosses
56% (5/9)	21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.45	0.76
Throw-ins
25	14
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
61% (11/18)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
59	35
Clearances
18	21
Interceptions
4	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
2.78	3.40
Goals prevented
-0.22	-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Stulic N. ⚽, Bernier A. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Sakamoto I. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Sakamoto I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 1 - 3, Frigan M. ⚽, Devine A. (A),
56', Van den Keybus T. 🟨,
57', 2 - 3, Stulic N. ⚽, Andreou S. (A),
63', Haspolat D. 🟨,
63', Van den Keybus T. ↓, Sayyadmanesh A. ↑,
66', Nzita M. 🟨,
69', Frigan M. 🟨,
71', 3 - 3, Heymans D. (Pen),
74', Sayyadmanesh A. 🟨,
78', Sakamoto I. ↓, Slimani I. ↑,
78', Reynolds B. ↓, Alcocer J. ↑,
80', Rommens T. 🟨,
81', Bernier A. ↓, Rogelj Z. ↑,
84', 4 - 3, Keita C. ⚽, Zorgane A. (A),
88', Heymans D. 🟨,
90', Petris J. ↓, Denuit R. ↑,
90+2', Nzita M. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
90+2', Zorgane A. ↓, Camara E. ↑,
90+7', Haspolat D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Charleroi
57.7%

Draw
21.7%

Westerlo
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

25.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charleroi's performance.

Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Westerlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Westerlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Charleroi - Westerlo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.01)	4.38 ↑ (3.76)	4.59 ↑ (3.45)	4.6% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Charleroi - Westerlo?

Users Predictions: Charleroi will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charleroi will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 4.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
In this match, Charleroi is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Charleroi: Kyei G. (Injury) Ousou A. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Westerlo: Bos J. (Hamstring Injury) Haidara B. (Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Westerlo?

Charleroi has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Charleroi?

Westerlo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Westerlo were as follows:

11.04.2025 Westerlo - Charleroi 2:2

22.02.2025 Westerlo - Charleroi 1:3

09.11.2024 Charleroi - Westerlo 1:0

01.03.2024 Westerlo - Charleroi 0:1

25.11.2023 Charleroi - Westerlo 3:2

Latest results of Charleroi

04.05.2025 Standard Liège - Charleroi 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 4:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Dender EH - Charleroi 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 3:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Westerlo - Charleroi 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Westerlo

02.05.2025 Westerlo - Dender EH 4:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 2:2 ✺

22.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Westerlo 2:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Standard Liège - Westerlo 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Westerlo - Charleroi 2:2 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Leuven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cercle Brugge KSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Club Brugge KV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Dender	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Genk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Gent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	St. Liege	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Waregem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Royale Union SG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	RAAL La Louviere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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