Rochester Americans vs Charlotte Checkers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
18/02/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3232
Shooting PCT
6.25% (2/32)6.25% (2/32)
Goalkeeper Saves
3030
Saves PCT
93.75% (30/32)93.75% (30/32)
Penalties
23
PIM
46
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (3/3)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 18:15, 0 - 1, Entwistle M. (G), Gaber R. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:02, 0 - 2, Smith N. (G), Benning M. (A),
  • 19:48, 1 - 2, Leschyshyn J. (G), Metsa Z. (A), Novikov N. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 02:37, 2 - 2, Costantini M. (G), Helenius K. (A), Rosen I. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (0 - 1)
  • 1, Helenius K. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Steeves B. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Rathbone J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Studnicka J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Jones Z. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Rochester Americans
38.5%
Draw
22.8%
Charlotte Checkers
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 22.7% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 23.1% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.15)
    4.05
    (4)
    2.34
    (2.6)
    8.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rochester (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rochester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Charlotte has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Rochester will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 53:76. (average 2.7:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 2.6:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans 4:3
    05.12.2025 Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans 3:6
    21.03.2025 Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers 1:2
    12.03.2025 Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers 3:4
    07.12.2024 Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans 0:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins543111111177:11485
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears56206822160:17260
    5Bridgeport Islanders56194825165:17454
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms55168625162:18354
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves522171113166:16067
    3Manitoba Moose50214619131:14356
    4Texas Stars53188423155:16556
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign55289216188:15076
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds54209520180:16963
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights522131018173:16658
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers561091423151:20452
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch55313417180:13572
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies55207919176:17963
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets55173926143:17549

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )