Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.15
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
129
Passes
84% (404/483)74% (188/254)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.55
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
129
Touches in opposition box
3218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
84% (404/483)74% (188/254)
Long passes
45% (25/56)51% (30/59)
Passes in final third
77% (144/186)64% (56/87)
Crosses
36% (13/36)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
2.150.45
Throw-ins
2213
Fouls
1313
Tackles
73% (8/11)89% (16/18)
Duels won
5569
Clearances
2145
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.551.35
Goals prevented
-0.450.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Hernandez P. , Lelin Y. (A),
  • 16', 0 - 2, Lombardi A. , Hernandez O. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Ciss O. , Chaney C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Watters D. 🟨,
  • 49', Lombardi A. 🟨,
  • 61', Hernandez O. , Bentley M. ,
  • 66', Bakero J. , Marou S. ,
  • 75', Ualefi , Acosta M. ,
  • 75', Hernandez P. , Ramos J. ,
  • 80', Ciss O. , Jauregui R. ,
  • 80', Sorenson A. , Ngah F. ,
  • 86', Mercer G. , Vazquez Z. ,
  • 89', Jaime C. , Mbuyu T. ,
  • 90+2', Mbuyu T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ndiaye B. , Ousmanou P. ,
  • 90+8', Chaney C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Charlotte Independence
42%
Draw
27.2%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 25.3% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 23.6% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chattanooga Red Wolves's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (1.84)
    3.49
    (3.6)
    3.09
    (3.6)
    5.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chattanooga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Chattanooga is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 3.
    • Charlotte Ind has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chattanooga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Charlotte Ind will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 1:0
    28.03.2025 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 0:0
    16.07.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 0:2
    14.06.2024 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 4:2
    09.09.2023 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:0
    Latest results of Charlotte Independence
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples32105:237
    2Spokane Velocity22004:136
    3Portland Hearts of Pine21103:124
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves11002:113
    5Forward Madison11002:113
    6One Knoxville21014:403
    7Union Omaha21013:303
    8Boise21013:303
    9AV Alta20201:102
    10Corpus Christi FC10102:201
    11Charlotte Independ10101:101
    12Westchester SC20113:4-11
    13Sarasota Paradise20112:3-11
    14Richmond Kickers20111:2-11
    15Fort Wayne20112:4-21
    16Greenville10011:2-10
    17New York Cosmos20022:6-40

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)