Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves
Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.15
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
129
Passes
84% (404/483)74% (188/254)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.55
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
129
Touches in opposition box
3218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
84% (404/483)74% (188/254)
Long passes
45% (25/56)51% (30/59)
Passes in final third
77% (144/186)64% (56/87)
Crosses
36% (13/36)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
2.150.45
Throw-ins
2213
Fouls
1313
Tackles
73% (8/11)89% (16/18)
Duels won
5569
Clearances
2145
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.551.35
Goals prevented
-0.450.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Hernandez P. , Lelin Y. (A),
  • 16', 0 - 2, Lombardi A. , Hernandez O. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Ciss O. , Chaney C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Watters D. 🟨,
  • 49', Lombardi A. 🟨,
  • 61', Hernandez O. , Bentley M. ,
  • 66', Bakero J. , Marou S. ,
  • 75', Ualefi , Acosta M. ,
  • 75', Hernandez P. , Ramos J. ,
  • 80', Ciss O. , Jauregui R. ,
  • 80', Sorenson A. , Ngah F. ,
  • 86', Mercer G. , Vazquez Z. ,
  • 89', Jaime C. , Mbuyu T. ,
  • 90+2', Mbuyu T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ndiaye B. , Ousmanou P. ,
  • 90+8', Chaney C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Charlotte Independence
42%
Draw
27.2%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 25.3% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 23.6% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chattanooga Red Wolves's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (1.84)
    3.49
    (3.6)
    3.09
    (3.6)
    5.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chattanooga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Chattanooga is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 3.
    • Charlotte Ind has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chattanooga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Charlotte Ind will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 1:0
    28.03.2025 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 0:0
    16.07.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 0:2
    14.06.2024 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 4:2
    09.09.2023 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:0
    Latest results of Charlotte Independence
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1One Knoxville30169543:261757
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves301510542:301255
    3Spokane Velocity30149741:35651
    4FC Naples30138940:32847
    5Union Omaha301371051:391246
    6Tormenta301361155:47845
    7Portland Hearts of Pine301112748:381045
    8Charlotte Independ301071345:50-537
    9AV Alta308121042:47-536
    10Forward Madison308111131:43-1235
    11Greenville30881438:43-532
    12Texoma30791435:55-2030
    13Richmond Kickers30851743:53-1029
    14Westchester SC30591643:59-1624

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