Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC).

USL League One
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.15
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
12	9
Passes
84% (404/483)	74% (188/254)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.35	1.55
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
12	9
Touches in opposition box
32	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
84% (404/483)	74% (188/254)
Long passes
45% (25/56)	51% (30/59)
Passes in final third
77% (144/186)	64% (56/87)
Crosses
36% (13/36)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
2.15	0.45
Throw-ins
22	13
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
73% (8/11)	89% (16/18)
Duels won
55	69
Clearances
21	45
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.55	1.35
Goals prevented
-0.45	0.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Hernandez P. ⚽, Lelin Y. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Lombardi A. ⚽, Hernandez O. (A),
39', 1 - 2, Ciss O. ⚽, Chaney C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Watters D. 🟨,
49', Lombardi A. 🟨,
61', Hernandez O. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
66', Bakero J. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
75', Ualefi ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
75', Hernandez P. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
80', Ciss O. ↓, Jauregui R. ↑,
80', Sorenson A. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
86', Mercer G. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
89', Jaime C. ↓, Mbuyu T. ↑,
90+2', Mbuyu T. 🟨,
90+3', Ndiaye B. ↓, Ousmanou P. ↑,
90+8', Chaney C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Charlotte Independence
42%

Draw
27.2%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

23.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chattanooga Red Wolves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.84)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	3.09 ↓ (3.6)	5.3% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chattanooga (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Chattanooga is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 3.
Charlotte Ind has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chattanooga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Charlotte Ind will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte Independence won against Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Charlotte Independence has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chattanooga Red Wolves won against Charlotte Independence?

Chattanooga Red Wolves has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves were as follows:

06.09.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 1:0

28.03.2025 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 0:0

16.07.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 0:2

14.06.2024 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 4:2

09.09.2023 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:0

Latest results of Charlotte Independence

10.10.2025 Charlotte Independence - AV Alta 3:2 ✺

03.10.2025 Charlotte Independence - Spokane Velocity 0:1 ✺

26.09.2025 One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence 2:3 ✺

12.09.2025 Charlotte Independence - Naples 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Chattanooga Red Wolves

11.10.2025 Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph 0:0 ✺

01.10.2025 One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha 0:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Spokane Velocity - Chattanooga Red Wolves 1:2 ✺

USL League One Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Naples	6	4	1	1	8:3	5	13
2	Spokane Velocity	6	4	1	1	11:8	3	13
3	Union Omaha	5	4	0	1	9:5	4	12
4	One Knoxville	6	3	2	1	7:5	2	11
5	Westchester SC	5	2	1	2	12:9	3	7
6	Greenville	4	2	0	2	8:7	1	6
7	Forward Madison	3	2	0	1	3:2	1	6
8	New York Cosmos	5	2	0	3	9:11	-2	6
9	Portland Hearts of Pine	4	1	2	1	3:2	1	5
10	Boise	4	1	2	1	6:6	0	5
11	Charlotte Independ	3	1	1	1	7:4	3	4
12	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
13	Fort Wayne	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
14	Sarasota Paradise	6	1	1	4	4:9	-5	4
15	AV Alta	6	0	4	2	7:11	-4	4
16	Corpus Christi FC	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2
17	Richmond Kickers	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)