Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/483) | 74% (188/254) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/483) | 74% (188/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (144/186) | 64% (56/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (13/36) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Hernandez P. ⚽, Lelin Y. (A),
- 16', 0 - 2, Lombardi A. ⚽, Hernandez O. (A),
- 39', 1 - 2, Ciss O. ⚽, Chaney C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Watters D. 🟨,
- 49', Lombardi A. 🟨,
- 61', Hernandez O. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
- 66', Bakero J. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
- 75', Ualefi ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
- 75', Hernandez P. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 80', Ciss O. ↓, Jauregui R. ↑,
- 80', Sorenson A. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
- 86', Mercer G. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
- 89', Jaime C. ↓, Mbuyu T. ↑,
- 90+2', Mbuyu T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ndiaye B. ↓, Ousmanou P. ↑,
- 90+8', Chaney C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Charlotte Independence 42% | Draw 27.2% | Chattanooga Red Wolves 30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chattanooga Red Wolves's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.26 ↑ (1.84) |
3.49 ↓ (3.6) |
3.09 ↓ (3.6) |
5.3% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chattanooga (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Chattanooga is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 3.
- Charlotte Ind has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chattanooga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Charlotte Ind will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte Independence won against Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Charlotte Independence has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chattanooga Red Wolves won against Charlotte Independence?
Chattanooga Red Wolves has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves were as follows:
06.09.2025
Chattanooga Red Wolves
-
Charlotte Independence
1:0
28.03.2025
Charlotte Independence
-
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0:0
16.07.2024
Chattanooga Red Wolves
-
Charlotte Independence
0:2
14.06.2024
Charlotte Independence
-
Chattanooga Red Wolves
4:2
09.09.2023
Charlotte Independence
-
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:0
Latest results of Charlotte Independence
Latest results of Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | One Knoxville | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 55 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 41:35 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | FC Naples | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Union Omaha | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 51:39 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Tormenta | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 55:47 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | AV Alta | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Forward Madison | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 35 |
| 11 | Greenville | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Texoma | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35:55 | -20 | 30 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 43:53 | -10 | 29 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 43:59 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )