Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.48
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
87% (451/517)78% (242/310)
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.130.74
Total shots
187
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
458
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1123
Passes
87% (451/517)78% (242/310)
Long passes
69% (34/49)45% (29/64)
Passes in final third
78% (150/192)50% (40/80)
Crosses
40% (10/25)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.940.57
Throw-ins
206
Fouls
2311
Tackles
70% (7/10)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5749
Clearances
1635
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
19
xGOT faced
0.742.13
Goals prevented
-0.262.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Miller C. 🟨,
  • 34', Miller C. 🟨,
  • 45', Sorenson A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vinyals N. , Akale M. ,
  • 46', Lewis A. , Meredith B. ,
  • 46', Gil L. , Reedy P. ,
  • 63', Jauregui R. , Marou S. ,
  • 63', Jaime C. , Moreno J. ,
  • 73', Brett N. , Pelaez A. ,
  • 74', Ciss O. 🟨,
  • 76', Moshobane T. 🟨,
  • 79', Moshobane T. , Ngah F. ,
  • 86', Spielman N. 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Reedy P. , John-Brown S. (A),
  • 90+3', Adewole T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Chaney C. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Charlotte Independence
37.1%
Draw
26.6%
Spokane Velocity
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 28.1% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 27.3% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Spokane Velocity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Charlotte Independence - Spokane Velocity Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.4)
    3.42
    (3.21)
    2.51
    (2.62)
    9.9%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Charlotte Ind has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Spokane has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Spokane Velocity were as follows:
    11.06.2025 Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence 1:1
    27.07.2024 Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence 2:4
    28.03.2024 Charlotte Independence - Spokane Velocity 2:1
    Latest results of Spokane Velocity
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)