Result
1:2
09/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 20
- Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (192/273) | 84% (404/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (192/273) | 84% (404/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 46% (32/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (43/91) | 78% (91/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 31', Knibbs H. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, McGree R. ⚽, Burgzorg D. (A),
- 38', Bree J. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Whittaker M. ⚽, McGree R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Coventry C. ↓, Docherty G. ↑,
- 46', Carey S. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 46', Knibbs H. ↓, Fullah I. ↑,
- 63', Whittaker M. ↓, Edmundson G. ↑,
- 63', Bangura A. ↓, Ayling L. ↑,
- 67', Berry L. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
- 69', McGree R. 🟨,
- 73', Conway T. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
- 73', McGree R. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
- 75', Docherty G. 🟨,
- 78', Bree J. ↓, Apter R. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Edmundson G. (Own goal),
- 82', Ramsay K. 🟨,
- 89', Burgzorg D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Charlton Athletic 29.8% | Draw 29.2% | Middlesbrough 41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.17 ↑ (2.82) |
3.25 ↓ (3.34) |
2.32 ↓ (2.48) |
5.5% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Middlesbrough (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(41 of 51 users predict this - 80.39%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.49% – 91.29%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Charlton (votes: 2 - 8%). Middlesbrough (votes: 20 - 80%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1.
- Charlton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Middlesbrough is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Charlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Middlesbrough will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J.
(Ankle Injury)
Godden M.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L.
(Inactive)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Charlton: Bell A.
(Injury)
Burke R.
(Foot Injury)
Kelman C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D.
(Injury)
Morris A.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlton Athletic won against Middlesbrough?
Charlton Athletic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Charlton Athletic?
Middlesbrough has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough were as follows:
Latest results of Charlton Athletic
Latest results of Middlesbrough
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 70:37 | 33 | 68 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:34 | 17 | 63 |
| 3 | Millwall | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 59 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56:34 | 22 | 57 |
| 5 | Hull | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | 7 | 57 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 53:45 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Southampton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:42 | 5 | 50 |
| 9 | Preston | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 49 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:43 | 2 | 49 |
| 11 | Derby | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
| 12 | Watford | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 48 |
| 13 | Stoke | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 47 |
| 14 | QPR | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 47 |
| 15 | Swansea | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40:40 | 0 | 46 |
| 16 | Sheffield Utd | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 48:48 | 0 | 45 |
| 17 | Norwich | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 45:44 | 1 | 42 |
| 18 | Charlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34:43 | -9 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 47:54 | -7 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29:46 | -17 | 29 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 34 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 20:68 | -48 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One