Charlton Athletic vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 20
  • Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.260.72
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
70% (192/273)84% (404/483)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.260.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.371.27
Total shots
613
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
518
Passes
70% (192/273)84% (404/483)
Long passes
46% (26/57)46% (32/69)
Passes in final third
47% (43/91)78% (91/116)
Crosses
19% (4/21)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.67
Throw-ins
2528
Fouls
185
Tackles
73% (11/15)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4541
Clearances
3023
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.270.37
Goals prevented
-0.730.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 31', Knibbs H. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, McGree R. , Burgzorg D. (A),
  • 38', Bree J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 2, Whittaker M. , McGree R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Coventry C. , Docherty G. ,
  • 46', Carey S. , Anderson K. ,
  • 46', Knibbs H. , Fullah I. ,
  • 63', Whittaker M. , Edmundson G. ,
  • 63', Bangura A. , Ayling L. ,
  • 67', Berry L. , Olaofe T. ,
  • 69', McGree R. 🟨,
  • 73', Conway T. , Nypan S. ,
  • 73', McGree R. , Browne A. ,
  • 75', Docherty G. 🟨,
  • 78', Bree J. , Apter R. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Edmundson G. (Own goal),
  • 82', Ramsay K. 🟨,
  • 89', Burgzorg D. , Sene M. K. ,

Chances of winning


Charlton Athletic
29.8%
Draw
29.2%
Middlesbrough
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.3% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 29.2% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.82)
    3.25
    (3.34)
    2.32
    (2.48)
    5.5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Middlesbrough (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (41 of 51 users predict this - 80.39%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.49%91.29%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Charlton (votes: 2 - 8%). Middlesbrough (votes: 20 - 80%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1.
    • Charlton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Middlesbrough is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Charlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Middlesbrough will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Godden M. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Inactive) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlton: Bell A. (Injury) Burke R. (Foot Injury) Kelman C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Injury) Morris A. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    Latest results of Charlton Athletic
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry34208670:373368
    2Middlesbrough34189751:341763
    3Millwall34178945:40559
    4Ipswich32169756:342257
    5Hull331761055:48757
    6Wrexham341412853:45854
    7Southampton3413111054:45950
    8Bristol City341481247:42550
    9Preston341213941:38349
    10Birmingham3413101145:43249
    11Derby341391249:45448
    12Watford3412121043:40348
    13Stoke341381338:32647
    14QPR341381346:52-647
    15Swansea341371440:40046
    16Sheffield Utd341431748:48045
    17Norwich341261645:44142
    18Charlton3410111333:43-1041
    19Portsmouth331091434:43-939
    20Blackburn341081632:43-1138
    21West Brom34981733:50-1735
    22Leicester3410101447:54-734
    23Oxford Utd346111729:46-1729
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 34182520:68-48-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One