Result
0:1
11/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 37
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 78% | 22% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 34 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (682/753) | 66% (149/226) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 34 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 87 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (682/753) | 66% (149/226) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (20/32) | 30% (17/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (276/326) | 49% (24/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (15/46) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Chambers L. 🟨,
- 45', Gillesphey M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Whittaker M. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 57', Strelec D. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,
- 58', Gough K. ↓, Ramsay K. ↑,
- 58', Kelman C. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
- 59', Leaburn M. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Coady C. ⚽, Clarke H. (A),
- 65', Gillesphey M. ↓, Bell A. ↑,
- 74', McGree R. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
- 89', Docherty G. ↓, Jones L. ↑,
- 89', Targett M. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough 69.9% | Draw 18.6% | Charlton Athletic 11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.36 ↓ (1.41) |
5.06 ↑ (4.63) |
8.23 ↑ (7) |
5.4% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 25 - 86.2%). Charlton will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 73.6% – 98.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Middlesbrough (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Middlesbrough (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 8 - 80%). Charlton (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Middlesbrough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Middlesbrough is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Injury)
Jones A.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Silvera S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Charlton: Burke R.
(Injury)
Edwards J.
(Ankle Injury)
Godden M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Knibbs H.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Charlton: Kaminski T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Charlton Athletic?
Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlton Athletic won against Middlesbrough?
Charlton Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic were as follows:
09.12.2025
Charlton Athletic
-
Middlesbrough
1:2
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Charlton Athletic
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 41 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 84 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 69:40 | 29 | 72 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 41 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 62:41 | 21 | 72 |
| 4 | Millwall | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 72 |
| 5 | Hull | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 63:58 | 5 | 68 |
| 6 | Southampton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 68:49 | 19 | 66 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 41 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 63:58 | 5 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 41 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 41 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 55:48 | 7 | 58 |
| 10 | Watford | 41 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 52:49 | 3 | 57 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 41 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 12 | QPR | 41 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 57 |
| 13 | Stoke | 41 | 15 | 9 | 17 | 48:45 | 3 | 54 |
| 14 | Preston | 41 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 48:52 | -4 | 54 |
| 15 | Swansea | 41 | 15 | 9 | 17 | 49:54 | -5 | 54 |
| 16 | Birmingham | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 49:52 | -3 | 53 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 57:58 | -1 | 51 |
| 18 | Charlton | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 38:49 | -11 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 37:49 | -12 | 47 |
| 20 | West Brom | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 45 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 40:57 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Leicester | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 54:63 | -9 | 41 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 41 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 39:54 | -15 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 41 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One