M Rifqi Fitriadi vs Chase Ferguson – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
22

Chances of winning


M Rifqi Fitriadi
43.8%
Chase Ferguson
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 62%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • M Rifqi Fitriadi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for M Rifqi Fitriadi than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with M Rifqi Fitriadi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chase Ferguson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.18)

    1.66
    (1.62)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Fitriadi is ranked ATP: 793. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 681.
    • Fitriadi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ferguson has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ferguson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ferguson is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fitriadi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson were as follows:
    27.11.2025 Chase Ferguson - M Rifqi Fitriadi 2:0
    Latest results of M Rifqi Fitriadi
    Latest results of Chase Ferguson
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Santillan A. (1)Pan W.2 : 0
    2Zeng Y.Hongyu Y.2 : 0
    3Chanta T.Iutkin I.2 : 0
    4Liu H.Matsuda K. (8)0 : 2
    5Samrej K. (3)Xiao L.2 : 0
    6Inui Y.Wu J.2 : 0
    7Suksumrarn T.Sornlaksup P.0 : 2
    8Lee D. H.Cui J. (5)1 : 2
    9Mochizuki Y. (7)Park U.2 : 0
    10Huang H.Wang K.0 : 2
    11Rifqi Fitriadi M.Zhu E.2 : 0
    12Ferguson C.Weber A. (4)2 : 1
    13Peliwo F. (6)Kharlamov R.1 : 2
    14Schifris J.Meng F.2 : 0
    15Cheng J.Sarksian D.0 : 2
    16Kukasian A.Ilagan A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Santillan A. (1)Zeng Y.2 : 1
    2Chanta T. (RET.)Matsuda K. (8)1 : 0
    3Samrej K. (3)Inui Y.2 : 0
    4Sornlaksup P.Cui J. (5)2 : 0
    5Mochizuki Y. (7)Wang K.1 : 2
    6Rifqi Fitriadi M.Ferguson C.2 : 0
    7Kharlamov R.Schifris J.1 : 2
    8Sarksian D.Ilagan A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Santillan A. (1)Matsuda K. (WO.) (8)
    2Samrej K. (3)Sornlaksup P.0 : 2
    3Wang K.Rifqi Fitriadi M.1 : 2
    4Schifris J.Ilagan A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Matsuda K. (8)Sornlaksup P.2 : 0
    2Rifqi Fitriadi M.Ilagan A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Matsuda K. (8)Ilagan A. (2)2 : 0