Result
2:0
05/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan, hard - 1/8-finals
Chances of winning
M Rifqi Fitriadi 43.8% | Chase Ferguson 56.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
M Rifqi Fitriadi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for M Rifqi Fitriadi than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with M Rifqi Fitriadi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chase Ferguson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↓ (2.18) |
|
1.66 ↑ (1.62) |
7.4% (7.9%) | |
Preview Facts
- Fitriadi is ranked ATP: 793. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 681.
- Fitriadi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ferguson has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ferguson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ferguson is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fitriadi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has M Rifqi Fitriadi won against Chase Ferguson?
M Rifqi Fitriadi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chase Ferguson won against M Rifqi Fitriadi?
Chase Ferguson has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson were as follows:
27.11.2025
Chase Ferguson
-
M Rifqi Fitriadi
2:0
Latest results of M Rifqi Fitriadi
Latest results of Chase Ferguson
Draw
20261/16-finals| 1 | Santillan A. (1) | Pan W. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zeng Y. | Hongyu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Chanta T. | Iutkin I. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Liu H. | Matsuda K. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Samrej K. (3) | Xiao L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Inui Y. | Wu J. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Suksumrarn T. | Sornlaksup P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Lee D. H. | Cui J. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Mochizuki Y. (7) | Park U. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Huang H. | Wang K. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Rifqi Fitriadi M. | Zhu E. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Ferguson C. | Weber A. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Peliwo F. (6) | Kharlamov R. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Schifris J. | Meng F. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Cheng J. | Sarksian D. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Kukasian A. | Ilagan A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Santillan A. (1) | Zeng Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Chanta T. (RET.) | Matsuda K. (8) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Samrej K. (3) | Inui Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sornlaksup P. | Cui J. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Mochizuki Y. (7) | Wang K. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Rifqi Fitriadi M. | Ferguson C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Kharlamov R. | Schifris J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Sarksian D. | Ilagan A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Santillan A. (1) | Matsuda K. (WO.) (8) | |
| 2 | Samrej K. (3) | Sornlaksup P. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Wang K. | Rifqi Fitriadi M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Schifris J. | Ilagan A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Matsuda K. (8) | Sornlaksup P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rifqi Fitriadi M. | Ilagan A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Matsuda K. (8) | Ilagan A. (2) | 2 : 0 |