Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves
Result
3:1
21/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.22
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
80% (301/378)56% (114/202)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.870.51
Total shots
157
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
30
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
286
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
80% (301/378)56% (114/202)
Long passes
53% (28/53)37% (27/73)
Passes in final third
64% (49/76)42% (28/66)
Crosses
31% (10/32)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.13
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
1219
Tackles
77% (10/13)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5758
Clearances
2240
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.510.87
Goals prevented
-0.54-2.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Hernandez P. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Castro L. , Sims T. (A),
  • 41', Herrera C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Kinzner E. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Sims T. ,
  • 63', Marsh C. , Zakowski B. ,
  • 63', Robles R. , Soto E. ,
  • 64', Hernandez O. , Vazquez Z. ,
  • 65', Ualefi , Gomez O. ,
  • 72', Polak T. 🟨,
  • 74', Ayimbila J. , Green O. ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Soto E. ,
  • 80', Knapp M. , Lelin Y. ,
  • 88', Castro L. , Anguiano C. ,
  • 90+3', Green O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Hernandez P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Greenville Triumph
55.6%
Draw
24.4%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 24.9% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 25.7% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.75)
    3.77
    (3.68)
    4.62
    (4)
    8.6%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 2.
    • Greenville has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chattanooga is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Chattanooga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Greenville has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Greenville is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Greenville won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph 1:0
    14.09.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph 2:5
    02.06.2024 Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves 1:3
    07.10.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph 2:2
    23.08.2023 Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:1
    Latest results of Greenville Triumph
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spokane Velocity1685322:15729
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves1576223:15827
    3Charlotte Independ1776427:22527
    4AV Alta1675427:21626
    5One Knoxville1466221:14724
    6FC Naples1665522:20223
    7Texoma1655620:26-620
    8Portland Hearts of Pine1548318:16220
    9Greenville1754821:23-219
    10Richmond Kickers1644824:28-416
    11Forward Madison1537514:17-316
    12Tormenta1643920:29-915
    13Westchester SC1536624:30-615
    14Union Omaha1442817:24-714

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )