Machico vs Chaves B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
61
Corner kicks
62
Total shots
185
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
124
Corner kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Machico
41.4%
Draw
28.8%
Chaves B
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 28.1% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 26.7% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Machico's performance.
  • Chaves B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaves B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machico than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Machico that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves B than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaves B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Machico - Chaves B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.65)
    3.13
    (3.1)
    3.01
    (2.23)
    11.2%
    (14.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Machico has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chaves B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Machico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Machico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Machico - Chaves B were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Chaves B - Machico 3:1
    Latest results of Machico
    31.01.2026 Machico - Celoricense 1:0
    25.01.2026 Limianos - Machico 2:0
    10.01.2026 Mirandela - Machico 2:0
    21.12.2025 Ribeira Brava - Machico 2:1
    Latest results of Chaves B
    25.01.2026 Chaves B - Brito 0:1
    17.01.2026 São Martinho - Chaves B 1:1
    10.01.2026 Chaves B - Vianense 1:2
    21.12.2025 Chaves B - Tirsense 0:1
    14.12.2025 Bragança - Chaves B 1:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1GD Braganca20115429:20938
    2AD Limianos1996426:20633
    3Celoricense2096532:191333
    4Brito1994624:18631
    5SC Vianense2086629:26330
    6Tirsense20610426:21528
    7Sao Martinho2083917:24-727
    8Camacha2069522:16627
    9SC Mirandela20811117:24-725
    10Chaves B2067728:24425
    11Machico2065922:28-623
    12Ribeira Brava1848617:27-1020
    13Vilaverdense2039814:20-618
    14Desportivo Moncao20351219:35-1614

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