Result
1:5
01/03/2024 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 24
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
Chances of winning
Chaves
28.4% | Draw
27.5% | Arouca
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Chaves - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↓
(3.76) |
3.44 ↓
(3.5) |
2.15 ↑
(2.01) |
5.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chaves - Arouca?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Arouca will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1.
- Recent matches Chaves is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Arouca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Chaves: Guima
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Arouca: Quaresma
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chaves: Pinho P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Kouassi E.
(Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Chaves won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Arouca?
Chaves has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Chaves?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Arouca were as follows:
01.10.2023
Arouca
-
Chaves
0:2
20.05.2023
Arouca
-
Chaves
1:0
15.01.2023
Chaves
-
Arouca
1:1
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
