Chaves vs Arouca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Chaves - Arouca
Result
1:5
01/03/2024 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 24
  • Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
portugalPortugalSport TV
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chaves
28.4%
Draw
27.5%
Arouca
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 27.2% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 27.8% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Chaves - Arouca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (3.76)
    3.44
    (3.5)
    2.15
    (2.01)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Chaves - Arouca?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Arouca will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1.
    • Recent matches Chaves is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Arouca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Chaves: Guima (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Arouca: Quaresma (Injury) Vitinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chaves: Pinho P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arouca: Kouassi E. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Chaves won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Arouca were as follows:
    01.10.2023 Arouca - Chaves 0:2
    20.05.2023 Arouca - Chaves 1:0
    15.01.2023 Chaves - Arouca 1:1
    Latest results of Chaves
    17.02.2024 Chaves - Boavista 2:1
    10.02.2024 Moreirense - Chaves 1:0
    04.02.2024 Chaves - Farense 1:1
    31.01.2024 Braga - Chaves 1:1
    Latest results of Arouca
    23.02.2024 Arouca - Famalicão 3:2
    18.02.2024 Casa Pia - Arouca 1:0
    12.02.2024 Arouca - Porto 3:2
    03.02.2024 Portimonense - Arouca 1:2
    28.01.2024 Arouca - Vizela 5:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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