Result
1:5
01/03/2024 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 24
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
Chances of winning
Chaves
28.4% | Draw
27.5% | Arouca
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Chaves - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↓
(3.76) |
3.44 ↓
(3.5) |
2.15 ↑
(2.01) |
5.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chaves - Arouca?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Arouca will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1.
- Recent matches Chaves is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Arouca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Chaves: Guima
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Arouca: Quaresma
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chaves: Pinho P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Kouassi E.
(Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Chaves won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Arouca?
Chaves has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Chaves?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Arouca were as follows:
01.10.2023
Arouca
-
Chaves
0:2
20.05.2023
Arouca
-
Chaves
1:0
15.01.2023
Chaves
-
Arouca
1:1
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
