Korona Kielce 2 vs Chełmianka Chełm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group IV Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm
Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group IV - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Cichocki P. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Minuczyc K. ,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Minuczyc K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', 3 - 1, Nojszewski J. ,

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce 2
50.2%
Draw
23.2%
Chełmianka Chełm
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 24.9% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 25.1% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Korona Kielce 2's performance.
  • Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chełmianka Chełm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Korona Kielce 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chełmianka Chełm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.37)
    5.02
    (3.63)
    4.38
    (2.44)
    -14.1%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 1.
    • Korona 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chełmianka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chełmianka might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2 1:2
    19.10.2024 Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm 2:4
    20.05.2023 Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm 3:3
    15.10.2022 Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2 0:0
    Polish Division 3 - Group IV Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski1375121:111026
    2Wislanie Skawina1382325:22326
    3Avia Swidnik1382328:181026
    4Wisloka Debica1364320:14622
    5Chelmianka Chelm1364319:16322
    6Star Starachowice1356219:15421
    7Siarka Tarnobrzeg1363426:19721
    8Cracovia II1363422:24-221
    9Lubaczow1355321:13820
    10Biala Podlaska1362524:23120
    11Korona Kielce II1352622:23-117
    12Stal Krasnik1344522:19316
    13Czarni Polaniec1351720:23-316
    14Naprzod Jedrzejow1343616:22-615
    15Swidniczanka Swidnik1333721:24-312
    16Wisla II1331920:33-1310
    17Kolbuszowa Dolna13211011:23-127
    18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka13211016:31-157

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