Chełmianka Chełm vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group IV - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • (1 - 0)

Chances of winning


Chełmianka Chełm
52.7%
Draw
23.6%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 23.7% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 22.7% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chełmianka Chełm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Sparta Kazimierza Wielka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Kazimierza Wielka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Chełmianka Chełm - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.74)
    3.83
    (3.83)
    3.82
    (3.8)
    10.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Chełmianka Chełm - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chełmianka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Chełmianka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kazimierza Wielka has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Kazimierza Wielka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chełmianka is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Polish Division 3 - Group IV Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski22146246:182848
    2Avia Swidnik22145355:262947
    3Chelmianka Chelm22136337:211645
    4Star Starachowice22127336:201643
    5Wislanie Skawina22124643:34940
    6Korona Kielce II22113843:37636
    7Siarka Tarnobrzeg22105745:311435
    8Lubaczow2297641:291234
    9Biala Podlaska2296735:33233
    10Wisloka Debica2289525:20533
    11Wisla II22841045:42328
    12Czarni Polaniec21831035:35027
    13Naprzod Jedrzejow21641128:39-1122
    14Cracovia II22641225:44-1922
    15Stal Krasnik22541328:39-1119
    16Kolbuszowa Dolna22431521:43-2215
    17Swidniczanka Swidnik22431526:50-2415
    18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka22211920:73-537

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation