Chełmianka Chełm vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group IV Chełmianka Chełm - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group IV - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • (1 - 0)

Chances of winning


Chełmianka Chełm
52.7%
Draw
23.6%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 23.7% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 22.7% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chełmianka Chełm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Sparta Kazimierza Wielka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Kazimierza Wielka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Chełmianka Chełm - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.74)
    3.84
    (3.83)
    3.86
    (3.8)
    10.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Chełmianka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kazimierza Wielka has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Kazimierza Wielka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chełmianka is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Polish Division 3 - Group IV Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski1174020:91125
    2Wislanie Skawina1172223:19423
    3Avia Swidnik1171324:16822
    4Chelmianka Chelm1163217:13421
    5Cracovia II1262420:22-220
    6Wisloka Debica1254317:13419
    7Biala Podlaska1152422:19317
    8Star Starachowice1145217:14317
    9Siarka Tarnobrzeg1152422:16617
    10Lubaczow1144318:13516
    11Korona Kielce II1251622:23-116
    12Stal Krasnik1243520:17315
    13Swidniczanka Swidnik1133519:20-112
    14Naprzod Jedrzejow1133515:21-612
    15Czarni Polaniec1131716:22-610
    16Wisla II1230920:33-139
    17Kolbuszowa Dolna1121811:20-97
    18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka1221915:28-137

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation