Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Taylor L. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Carter C. ,

Chances of winning


Dorking Wanderers
40.4%
Draw
26%
Chelmsford City
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 24.4% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 24.9% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorking Wanderers's form might have worsened.
  • Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelmsford City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelmsford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.92)
    3.55
    (3.8)
    2.74
    (3.4)
    8.4%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2.
    • Recent performances by Dorking have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chelmsford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chelmsford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chelmsford has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers 1:1
    08.03.2025 Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City 2:2
    09.11.2024 Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers 0:4
    Latest results of Dorking Wanderers
    Latest results of Chelmsford City
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dorking40229972:492375
    2Worthing402181184:453971
    3Hemel Hempstead392171148:40870
    4Hornchurch392091065:531269
    5Maidenhead391981256:352165
    6Torquay401981370:571365
    7Ebbsfleet4018111161:491265
    8Weston-super-Mare381961354:421263
    9Maidstone4017101357:421561
    10Chelmsford371861356:47960
    11Chesham391781452:43959
    12Dag & Red4016111351:45659
    13Tonbridge4014111554:56-253
    14AFC Totton381651748:62-1453
    15Horsham FC3913131346:45152
    16Slough401481859:67-850
    17Dover4013101756:61-549
    18Hampton & Richmond4012101849:61-1246
    19Salisbury4012101841:55-1446
    20Farnborough3910101953:77-2440
    21Chippenham401082247:71-2438
    22Enfield Town398112046:70-2435
    23Bath387121936:60-2433
    24Eastbourne Boro40872549:78-2931

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation