Chelmsford City vs Dorking Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Remy S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 86', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Chelmsford City
45.7%
Draw
32.5%
Dorking Wanderers
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 26.3% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 26% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelmsford City's performance.
  • Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorking Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelmsford City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dorking Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.69)
    3.57
    (3.48)
    5.31
    (2.32)
    -13.8%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 0.
    • Chelmsford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dorking is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chelmsford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Dorking has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City 2:2
    09.11.2024 Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers 0:4
    Latest results of Chelmsford City
    Latest results of Dorking Wanderers
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dorking34207762:402267
    2Hornchurch34188857:461162
    3Worthing351871076:423461
    4Torquay351771164:491558
    5Ebbsfleet351511950:401056
    6Maidenhead341671149:311855
    7Maidstone3615101151:351655
    8Hemel Hempstead341671136:36055
    9Weston-super-Mare321661046:331354
    10Chesham341581141:35653
    11Chelmsford321651145:41453
    12Horsham FC341213944:36849
    13Dag & Red3513101245:41449
    14AFC Totton331451443:55-1247
    15Slough351371552:55-346
    16Dover3511101449:53-443
    17Tonbridge3510111449:53-441
    18Salisbury361091733:50-1739
    19Hampton & Richmond369101742:57-1537
    20Farnborough348101646:70-2434
    21Bath327111431:43-1232
    22Eastbourne Boro36872146:67-2131
    23Enfield Town347101741:62-2131
    24Chippenham36782137:65-2829

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation