Chelmsford City vs Dorking Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League South Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Remy S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 86', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Chelmsford City
45.7%
Draw
32.5%
Dorking Wanderers
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 26.3% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 26% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelmsford City's performance.
  • Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorking Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelmsford City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dorking Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.69)
    3.57
    (3.48)
    5.31
    (2.32)
    -13.8%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 0.
    • Chelmsford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dorking is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chelmsford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Dorking has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City 2:2
    09.11.2024 Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers 0:4
    Latest results of Chelmsford City
    Latest results of Dorking Wanderers
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hornchurch1284026:131328
    2Weston-super-Mare1181218:81025
    3AFC Totton1171319:12722
    4Torquay1263320:14621
    5Maidenhead1162315:9620
    6Hemel Hempstead1154212:8419
    7Chesham1245313:10317
    8Dover1345420:19117
    9Maidstone1245312:13-117
    10Hampton & Richmond1144318:16216
    11Horsham FC1244416:14216
    12Ebbsfleet1144312:11116
    13Worthing1143417:14315
    14Dorking1143414:14015
    15Chelmsford1143411:13-215
    16Tonbridge1134414:18-413
    17Slough1133515:20-512
    18Dag & Red1225513:21-811
    19Bath1124511:16-510
    20Farnborough1123617:22-59
    21Enfield Town112368:15-79
    22Eastbourne Boro111557:13-68
    23Salisbury111557:14-78
    24Chippenham111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation