Chelmsford City vs Dover Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Nikaj G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Nikaj G. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Taylor L. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Chelmsford City
61.9%
Draw
21.2%
Dover Athletic
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 20.9% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 20.5% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.48)
    4.37
    (4.44)
    5.45
    (5.64)
    8.1%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 1.
    • Chelmsford is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dover has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Dover may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chelmsford is the team to beat.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City 0:1
    01.04.2024 Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City 1:0
    23.10.2023 Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic 3:3
    18.02.2023 Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City 0:0
    07.11.2022 Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic 0:0
    Latest results of Chelmsford City
    Latest results of Dover Athletic
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Bye
    2Hemel Hempstead (5)Weston-super-Mare (6)1 : 2
    3Torquay (3)Bye
    4Dorking (4)Maidenhead (7)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Weston-super-Mare (6)2 : 0
    2Torquay (3)Dorking (4)4 : 2

    Final
    1Hornchurch (2)Torquay (3)