Result
2:3
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Crowther A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 64', 1 - 1, Fenelon S. ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 1, Hammond J. ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 2, Barbrook H. ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 3, Odegah J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Horsham 37.4% | Draw 29.1% | Chelmsford City 33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Horsham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-3%)
Horsham - Chelmsford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↑ (2.22) |
3.18 ↓ (3.51) |
2.77 ↓ (2.93) |
8% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Chelmsford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Horsham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Horsham won against Chelmsford City?
Horsham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelmsford City won against Horsham?
Chelmsford City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Horsham - Chelmsford City were as follows:
09.08.2025
Chelmsford City
-
Horsham
1:0
Latest results of Horsham
Latest results of Chelmsford City
English National League South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dorking | 39 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 70:47 | 23 | 74 |
| 2 | Worthing | 39 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 81:43 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | Hemel Hempstead | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 5 | 67 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 63:52 | 11 | 66 |
| 5 | Maidenhead | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 56:35 | 21 | 65 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 61:49 | 12 | 65 |
| 7 | Torquay | 39 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 68:55 | 13 | 64 |
| 8 | Weston-super-Mare | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 52:39 | 13 | 63 |
| 9 | Maidstone | 40 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 57:42 | 15 | 61 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 56:47 | 9 | 60 |
| 11 | Chesham | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 51:41 | 10 | 59 |
| 12 | Dag & Red | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 51:45 | 6 | 59 |
| 13 | Tonbridge | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 53 |
| 14 | AFC Totton | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 48:62 | -14 | 53 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 46:45 | 1 | 52 |
| 16 | Slough | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 59:67 | -8 | 50 |
| 17 | Dover | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 55:58 | -3 | 49 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 49:61 | -12 | 46 |
| 19 | Salisbury | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 41:55 | -14 | 46 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 39 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 53:77 | -24 | 40 |
| 21 | Chippenham | 40 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 47:71 | -24 | 38 |
| 22 | Bath | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 36:57 | -21 | 33 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 43:69 | -26 | 32 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Boro | 40 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 49:78 | -29 | 31 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation