Chelsea vs Barcelona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
3:0
25/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanWowow Prime
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.80
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
89% (457/515)84% (352/418)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.450.59
Total shots
155
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
359
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
89% (457/515)84% (352/418)
Long passes
48% (22/46)57% (23/40)
Passes in final third
76% (94/123)63% (35/56)
Crosses
27% (3/11)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.31
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
1812
Tackles
69% (9/13)54% (14/26)
Duels won
3561
Clearances
913
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.591.45
Goals prevented
0.59-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Kounde J. (Own goal),
  • 32', Araujo R. 🟨,
  • 40', Gusto M. 🟨,
  • 44', Araujo R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Torres F. ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
  • 46', Gusto M. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
  • 52', Maresca E. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 0, Estêvão ⚽, James R. (A),
  • 59', Garnacho A. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
  • 62', Lewandowski R. ↓, Raphinha ↑,
  • 62', Fermín ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Delap L. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
  • 76', Neto P. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
  • 79', Balde A. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
  • 80', Lamine Yamal ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
  • 82', James R. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
  • 82', Estêvão ↓, George T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Chelsea
43.7%		Draw
24%		Barcelona
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 23.9% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 23.8% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Chelsea - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.21 ↓
    (2.25)    		 4.02 ↑
    (4.01)    		 2.96 ↑
    (2.84)    		 3.8%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Chelsea - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 19 - 31.1%). Barcelona will win (votes: 29 - 47.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 35% – 60%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Barcelona (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Chelsea (1.38) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Chelsea (1.67) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Chelsea (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Half - Barcelona (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Barcelona (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC, 1st Half - Barcelona (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Barcelona (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 11 - 25.6%). Barcelona (votes: 24 - 55.8%). Tie (votes: 8 - 18.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 2.
    • Chelsea has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Barcelona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Palmer C. (Toe Injury) Slonina G. (Inactive) Sterling R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Gavi (Knee Injury) Pedri (Muscle Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    Latest results of Chelsea
    22.11.2025 Burnley - Chelsea 0:2 ✺
    08.11.2025 Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers 3:0 ✺
    05.11.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    01.11.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea 0:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea 3:4 ✺
    Latest results of Barcelona
    22.11.2025 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 4:0 ✺
    09.11.2025 Celta de Vigo - Barcelona 2:4 ✺
    05.11.2025 Club Brugge - Barcelona 3:3 ✺
    02.11.2025 Barcelona - Elche 3:1 ✺
    26.10.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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