Chelsea vs Bournemouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
2:2
30/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.432.83
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
85% (465/545)73% (190/260)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.432.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.161.99
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
1512
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
5224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
125
Passes
85% (465/545)73% (190/260)
Long passes
44% (20/45)33% (18/54)
Passes in final third
78% (173/221)65% (62/96)
Crosses
39% (9/23)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.44
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
512
Tackles
50% (9/18)75% (12/16)
Duels won
6644
Clearances
2741
Interceptions
815
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.992.16
Goals prevented
-0.010.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 4', Caicedo M. 🟨,
  • 6', 0 - 1, Brooks D. ⚽,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Palmer C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 23', 2 - 1, Fernandez E. ⚽, Garnacho A. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 2, Kluivert J. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Garnacho A. ↓, Neto P. ↑,
  • 46', Acheampong J. ↓, James R. ↑,
  • 63', Palmer C. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
  • 78', Brooks D. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
  • 82', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
  • 84', Tavernier M. 🟨,
  • 87', Delap L. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
  • 90+3', Kluivert J. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
  • 90+3', Estêvão ↓, Gittens J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/nhh9aht7

Chances of winning


Chelsea
61.6%		Draw
21.2%		Bournemouth
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.4% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 22.5% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
    •

    Chelsea - Bournemouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.56 ↓
    (1.62)    		 4.53 ↑
    (4.02)    		 5.66 ↑
    (5.07)    		 3.9%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Chelsea - Bournemouth?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Bournemouth (1.92) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Chelsea (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Bournemouth (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (54 of 62 users predict this - 87.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.76% – 95.44%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 32 - 80%). Bournemouth (votes: 8 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 2.
    • Recent performances by Chelsea have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bournemouth's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chelsea is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury) Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Bournemouth were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Bournemouth - Chelsea 0:0
    14.01.2025 Chelsea - Bournemouth 2:2
    14.09.2024 Bournemouth - Chelsea 0:1
    19.05.2024 Chelsea - Bournemouth 2:1
    17.09.2023 Bournemouth - Chelsea 0:0
    Latest results of Chelsea
    27.12.2025 Chelsea - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    16.12.2025 Cardiff City - Chelsea 1:3 ✺
    13.12.2025 Chelsea - Everton 2:0 ✺
    09.12.2025 Atalanta - Chelsea 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bournemouth
    27.12.2025 Brentford - Bournemouth 4:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Bournemouth - Burnley 1:1 ✺
    15.12.2025 Manchester United - Bournemouth 4:4 ✺
    06.12.2025 Bournemouth - Chelsea 0:0 ✺
    02.12.2025 Bournemouth - Everton 0:1 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal32217462:243870
    2Manchester City31197563:283564
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa32167943:38555
    5Liverpool321571052:421052
    6Chelsea321391053:411248
    7Brentford321381148:44447
    8Everton321381139:37247
    9Brighton3212101043:37646
    10Sunderland3212101033:36-346
    11Bournemouth321015748:49-145
    12Fulham321351443:46-344
    13Crystal Palace311191135:36-142
    14Newcastle321261445:47-242
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham32891532:44-1233
    17West Ham32881640:57-1732
    18Tottenham32791640:51-1130
    19Burnley32482033:63-3020
    20Wolves32382124:58-3417

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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