Chelsea vs Liverpool – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Chelsea - Liverpool
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chelsea
33.7%
Draw
25%
Liverpool
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 26.5% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 26.8% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Chelsea - Liverpool Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.84)
    3.89
    (3.6)
    2.36
    (2.39)
    2.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chelsea - Liverpool?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Liverpool will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 23.2%66.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Liverpool were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 3:1
    20.10.2024 Liverpool - Chelsea 2:1
    25.02.2024 Chelsea - Liverpool 0:1
    31.01.2024 Liverpool - Chelsea 4:1
    13.08.2023 Chelsea - Liverpool 1:1
    Latest results of Chelsea
    30.09.2025 Chelsea - Benfica 1:0
    23.09.2025 Lincoln City - Chelsea 1:2
    17.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Chelsea 3:1
    Latest results of Liverpool
    30.09.2025 Galatasaray - Liverpool 1:0
    27.09.2025 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 2:1
    23.09.2025 Liverpool - Southampton 2:1
    20.09.2025 Liverpool - Everton 2:1
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool650112:7515
    2Arsenal641112:3913
    3Crystal Palace63308:3512
    4Tottenham632111:4711
    5Sunderland63217:4311
    6Bournemouth63218:7111
    7Manchester City631214:6810
    8Chelsea622211:838
    9Everton62227:618
    10Brighton62229:908
    11Fulham62227:8-18
    12Leeds62226:9-38
    13Brentford62139:11-27
    14Manchester Utd62137:11-47
    15Newcastle61324:5-16
    16Aston Villa61324:6-26
    17Nottingham61235:10-55
    18Burnley61146:13-74
    19West Ham61146:14-84
    20Wolves60154:13-91

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship