Chelsea vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women Chelsea - Manchester City
Result
3:0
27/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Campos C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil, Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayVG+
spainSpainDAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max, M+ Ellas V, Movistar+ Lite
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, SVT 24, SVT Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN 1 UK, DAZN, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaDAZN USA

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.730.53
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
115
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
78% (301/388)75% (289/387)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.730.53
xG on target (xGOT)
5.011.45
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
115
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
184
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
4320
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
88
Passes
78% (301/388)75% (289/387)
Long passes
41% (19/46)30% (14/47)
Passes in final third
66% (78/118)64% (79/123)
Crosses
22% (6/27)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.56
Fouls
88
Tackles
53% (16/30)48% (10/21)
Duels won
6146
Clearances Total
2431
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
58
xGOT faced
1.455.01
Goals prevented
1.442.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Baltimore S. , Bronze L. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 0, Bjorn N. , Baltimore S. (A),
  • 43', 3 - 0, Ramirez M. , James L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Murphy L. , Coombs L. ,
  • 47', Aleixandri L. 🟨,
  • 55', Baltimore S. 🟨,
  • 65', Roord J. , Park J. ,
  • 72', Ramirez M. , Beever-Jones A. ,
  • 85', Hasegawa Y. , Layzell N. ,
  • 90+2', Kaptein W. , Jean-Francois O. ,

Chances of winning


Chelsea
69.5%
Draw
19.2%
Manchester City
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.7% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.7% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chelsea - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.57)
    4.79
    (3.86)
    8.33
    (5.1)
    7.5%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chelsea - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Manchester City will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 76.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 4.
    • Chelsea is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Manchester City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Chelsea is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Chelsea to win the game is with odds 1.45.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 38:22 (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:9 (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Manchester City were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Manchester City - Chelsea 1:2
    19.03.2025 Manchester City - Chelsea 2:0
    15.03.2025 Chelsea - Manchester City 2:1
    16.11.2024 Chelsea - Manchester City 2:0
    07.03.2024 Manchester City - Chelsea 0:1
    Latest results of Chelsea
    23.03.2025 Manchester City - Chelsea 1:2
    19.03.2025 Manchester City - Chelsea 2:0
    15.03.2025 Chelsea - Manchester City 2:1
    09.03.2025 Chelsea - Crystal Palace 1:0
    05.03.2025 Chelsea - Leicester City 3:1
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Draw
    Placement matches

    Final
    1Flora WAEK Athens FC W0 : 1
    2Anenii Noi WBuducnost W0 : 3
    3NSA Sofia WNSI Runavik W0 : 4