Result
0:1
09/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 19
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (307/433) | 58% (140/240) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (307/433) | 58% (140/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (23/75) | 20% (13/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (50/92) | 53% (40/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Nichols T. 🟨,
- 45+1', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bodin B. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
- 58', Mabete F. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Archer E. ⚽,
- 68', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
- 80', McGregor J. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
- 80', Nichols T. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
- 83', Adelakun H. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
- 90+2', Archer E. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
- 90+5', Day J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
65.8% | Draw
20.9% | Cheltenham Town
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.39) |
4.49 ↑
(4.2) |
7 ↑
(6.5) |
7.1%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 1.
- Swindon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cheltenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Swindon is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Munroe F.
(Red Card)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hutchinson I.
(Yellow Cards)
Mazionis J.
(Inactive)
Miller G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R.
(Injury)
- We predict that Swindon will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Cheltenham Town?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Swindon Town?
Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
15.03.2025
Swindon Town
-
Cheltenham Town
3:3
12.10.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Swindon Town
2:3
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 30:19 | 11 | 39 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 35:22 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Swindon | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 34:25 | 9 | 37 |
| 4 | Bromley | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32:23 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 34 |
| 6 | MK Dons | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 33 |
| 7 | Salford | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | Crewe | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 32 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 36:31 | 5 | 32 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 30 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 30 |
| 12 | Colchester | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
| 13 | Barnet | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 28 |
| 14 | Grimsby | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 27 |
| 15 | Tranmere | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 26 |
| 16 | Oldham | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 24 |
| 17 | Accrington | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Barrow | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 21 |
| 20 | Shrewsbury | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 21 | Crawley | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 22 | Bristol Rovers | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 16:39 | -23 | 18 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18:31 | -13 | 17 |
| 24 | Newport | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 13 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
