Result
0:2
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 23
- Referee: Searle I. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (327/414) | 70% (231/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (327/414) | 70% (231/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/61) | 38% (25/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (77/108) | 56% (66/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Glatzel P. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
- 54', McGregor J. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, McGregor J. ⚽,
- 59', Munroe F. ↓, Wright W. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 2, Mabete F. ⚽, Wright W. (A),
- 81', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 82', Palmer O. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
- 88', Archer E. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 89', Thomas J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 90', Nichols T. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 90', Oldaker D. ↓, Gonzalez-Birchall D. ↑,
- 90+5', Ball J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town
26.6% | Draw
27.4% | Swindon Town
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Cheltenham Town - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↓
(3.75) |
3.39 ↓
(3.5) |
2.03 ↑
(1.85) |
7.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Cheltenham (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
- Cheltenham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Swindon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Swindon is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mazionis J.
(Inactive)
Miller G.
(Inactive)
Sherring S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Clarke O.
(Suspended)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Swindon Town?
Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Cheltenham Town?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
09.12.2025
Swindon Town
-
Cheltenham Town
0:1
15.03.2025
Swindon Town
-
Cheltenham Town
3:3
12.10.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Swindon Town
2:3
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 38 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 61:36 | 25 | 76 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 75:37 | 38 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 55:28 | 27 | 69 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 60:37 | 23 | 67 |
| 5 | Salford | 38 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 54:47 | 7 | 67 |
| 6 | Swindon | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 62:45 | 17 | 66 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 51:40 | 11 | 59 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 60:52 | 8 | 59 |
| 9 | Crewe | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:47 | 7 | 57 |
| 10 | Walsall | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 46:40 | 6 | 57 |
| 11 | Oldham | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 43:31 | 12 | 55 |
| 12 | Barnet | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 46:42 | 4 | 54 |
| 13 | Colchester | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 51 |
| 15 | Accrington | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 45 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 41:60 | -19 | 42 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 37:59 | -22 | 41 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 38:59 | -21 | 40 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 48:68 | -20 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:59 | -23 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 38:65 | -27 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29:57 | -28 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 36:58 | -22 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
