Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Regionalliga Nordost - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Germany | Ostsport |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Caciel B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 2 - 0, Ugondu O. C. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 1, Baumgart T. ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rot-Weiß Erfurt
50.1% | Draw
25.9% | Chemnitzer
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rot-Weiß Erfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rot-Weiß Erfurt's form might have worsened.Chemnitzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chemnitzer's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rot-Weiß Erfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chemnitzer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Chemnitzer Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.62) |
3.58 ↓
(3.9) |
3.87 ↓
(4.96) |
7.7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga North and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 2.
- Rot-Weiß Erfurt is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Chemnitzer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rot-Weiß Erfurt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rot-Weiß Erfurt is the team to beat.
- We predict that Rot-Weiß Erfurt will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rot-Weiß Erfurt won against Chemnitzer?
Rot-Weiß Erfurt has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chemnitzer won against Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Chemnitzer has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Chemnitzer were as follows:
20.04.2025
Chemnitzer
-
Rot-Weiß Erfurt
2:0
27.10.2024
Rot-Weiß Erfurt
-
Chemnitzer
0:0
19.05.2024
Chemnitzer
-
Rot-Weiß Erfurt
2:2
08.12.2023
Rot-Weiß Erfurt
-
Chemnitzer
7:2
25.02.2023
Rot-Weiß Erfurt
-
Chemnitzer
1:0
Latest results of Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Latest results of Chemnitzer
German Regionalliga Nordost Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jena | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:3 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Erfurt | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:13 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Altglienicke | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Hallescher | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Zwickau | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Luckenwalde | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | BFC Preussen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Chemnitzer | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Magdeburg II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Babelsberg | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Meuselwitz | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Hertha Berlin II | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17:21 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | BFC Dynamo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Greifswald | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Eilenburg | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 6 |
| 17 | Chemie Leipzig | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:21 | -16 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Regionalliga North
Relegation
