Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Rongcheng – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/04/2026 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 5
  • Referee: Jing W. (Chn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
spainSpainGol Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.731.12
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
25
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
210
Passes
77% (303/394)75% (252/338)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
0.731.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.132.09
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
48
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
210
Touches in opposition box
1729
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
53
Free kicks
1813
Passes
77% (303/394)75% (252/338)
Long passes
47% (28/59)41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
65% (67/103)66% (83/126)
Crosses
29% (4/14)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.82
Throw ins
2220
Fouls
1318
Tackles
80% (12/15)27% (3/11)
Duels won
6050
Clearances
4428
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
2.091.13
Goals prevented
0.090.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Wei Shihao 🟨,
  • 31', Hu H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Abreu F. , Zhang Yuning ,
  • 46', Wang Ziming , Felipe Silva ,
  • 52', Deng J. , Li Lei ,
  • 53', Wang Gang , Cao Yongjing ,
  • 62', Matheus Jussa 🟨,
  • 62', Zhang Xizhe , Chi Zhongguo ,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Zhang Yuning , Cao Yongjing (A),
  • 73', Lin Liangming , Jia Feifan ,
  • 76', He Yiran , Wang Dongsheng ,
  • 76', Matheus Jussa , Liao Lisheng ,
  • 82', Konte A. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Liao Lisheng , Wei Shihao (A),
  • 88', Liao Lisheng 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Wei Shihao , Wellington Silva (A),
  • 90+7', Romulo , Li Y. ,

Chances of winning


Beijing Guoan
41.2%
Draw
25.6%
Chengdu Rongcheng
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 27.2% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 27.7% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Beijing Guoan aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.31)
    3.64
    (3.43)
    2.83
    (2.88)
    6.8%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 1.
    • In recent matches, Beijing Guoan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chengdu Rongcheng is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Beijing Guoan has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Foot Injury) Spajic U. (Knee Injury) Yue Tze-Nam (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Hou Sen (Inactive) Ramos G. (Injury) Wu Shaocong (Inactive) Yang Liyu (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chengdu Rongcheng: Liao Lisheng (Injury) Yao Zixuan (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan 2:0
    29.03.2025 Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng 1:1
    14.09.2024 Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan 2:2
    05.05.2024 Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng 2:1
    29.10.2023 Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng 2:3
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng541016:61013
    2Chongqing Tonglianglong53207:4311
    3Yunnan Yukun530213:859
    4Dalian Yingbo530210:1009
    5Liaoning Tieren52126:607
    6Shenzhen Xinpengcheng520310:12-26
    7Qingdao West Coast51134:12-84
    8Shandong Taishan53027:703
    9Zhejiang Professional52127:612
    10Shanghai Shenhua532011:741
    11Shanghai Port52037:611
    12Henan Songshan Longmen52125:501
    13Beijing Guoan51136:7-1-1
    14Wuhan Three Towns51138:11-3-1
    15Qingdao Hainiu51134:9-5-3
    16Tianjin Jinmen Tiger50233:8-5-8

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ League One