Chengdu Rongcheng vs Gangwon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.14
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
74% (262/354)82% (463/566)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.170.10
Total shots
85
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
136
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
714
Passes
74% (262/354)82% (463/566)
Long passes
36% (22/61)37% (26/70)
Passes in final third
56% (57/101)61% (73/120)
Crosses
15% (2/13)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.41
Throw-ins
1422
Fouls
147
Tackles
78% (14/18)29% (2/7)
Duels won
4438
Clearances
1213
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.100.17
Goals prevented
0.10-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Hu H. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Chow T. , Yang Shuai (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Kim Min-Jun , Vitor Gabriel ,
  • 75', Liao Rongxiang , Li Moyu ,
  • 77', Goo Bon-Cheul , Jung In-jeung ,
  • 78', Kang Y. , Hwang Eun-Chong ,
  • 85', Hwang Eun-Chong 🟨,
  • 86', Kim Dae-Woo , Yoo Byung-Heon ,
  • 86', Yun Il-Lok , Jeong Seung-Bin ,
  • 88', Yang Ming-Yang , Dong Y. ,
  • 90+3', Yan Dinghao , Gan Chao ,
  • 90+4', Kim Do-Hyun 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chengdu Rongcheng
59.5%
Draw
23.6%
Gangwon
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 23.9% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 23.8% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Chengdu Rongcheng - Gangwon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.63)
    4.11
    (3.99)
    5.72
    (5.43)
    3.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Chengdu Rongcheng - Gangwon?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Gangwon will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 46.4%99%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gangwon (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Gangwon (1.96) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Gangwon (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Gangwon (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Chengdu Rongcheng has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gangwon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chengdu Rongcheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Gangwon has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is seen as the favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
    Latest results of Gangwon
    27.09.2025 Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen 0:0
    21.09.2025 Suwon - Gangwon 1:0
    16.09.2025 Gangwon - Shanghai Shenhua 2:1
    13.09.2025 Gangwon - FC Seoul 3:2
    31.08.2025 Gangwon - Pohang Steelers 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al-Sadd (8)
    2Vissel Kobe (2)Seoul (7)2 : 1, 1 : 0
    3Al Ahli SC (2)Al-Duhail (7)
    4Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3)Johor DT (6)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    5Machida (1)Gangwon (8)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    6Al Ittihad (4)Al Wahda (5)
    7Buriram (4)Melbourne City (5)1 : 0, 1 : 1
    8Tractor (3)Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Vissel Kobe (2)
    2TBD #3Johor DT (6)
    3Machida (1)TBD #6
    4Buriram (4)TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2