Chengdu Rongcheng vs Johor Darul Takzim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
21/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
ukraineUkraineSport 3
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.081.37
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
414
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
82% (368/449)65% (165/253)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.081.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.171.32
Total shots
414
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
17
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1920
Passes
82% (368/449)65% (165/253)
Long passes
40% (27/68)25% (18/73)
Passes in final third
69% (80/116)54% (43/79)
Crosses
15% (4/26)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.49
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
2019
Tackles
53% (9/17)81% (13/16)
Duels won
5843
Clearances
1524
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.320.17
Goals prevented
-0.680.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Arribas O. , Jairo (A),
  • 12', Dong Y. 🟨,
  • 13', Jairo 🟨,
  • 29', Hu H. , Gurfinkel Y. ,
  • 30', Silva J. 🟨,
  • 45', Delgado P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Xu Hong , Felipe Silva ,
  • 46', Dong Y. , Letschert T. ,
  • 46', Israfilov E. , Lowry S. ,
  • 55', Chow T. 🟨,
  • 59', Han Pengfei 🟨,
  • 62', 0 - 2, Mendez N. , Silva J. (A),
  • 63', Liao Rongxiang , Yang Ming-Yang ,
  • 71', Fazail A. , Insa N. ,
  • 82', Han Pengfei , Tang Chuang ,
  • 85', Aketxe A. , Teto A. ,
  • 85', Parra R. , Saad S. ,
  • 89', Jairo , Bergson ,
  • 89', Tang Chuang 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Chengdu Rongcheng
27.9%
Draw
26.3%
Johor Darul Takzim
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 23.6% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 24% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chengdu Rongcheng's form might have worsened.
  • Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Johor Darul Takzim's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chengdu Rongcheng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Johor Darul Takzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chengdu Rongcheng - Johor Darul Takzim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (2.07)
    3.72
    (3.92)
    2.13
    (2.9)
    2.4%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chengdu Rongcheng - Johor Darul Takzim?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Johor will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Johor: 56%94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Chengdu Rongcheng (2.05) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Johor Darul Takzim will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 3 - 25%). Johor (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Chengdu Rongcheng have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Johor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
    Latest results of Johor Darul Takzim
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Machida852115:7817
    2Vissel Kobe851214:7716
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima843110:6415
    4Buriram842210:8214
    5Melbourne City84229:7214
    6Johor DT83238:7111
    7Seoul824210:9110
    8Gangwon82339:11-29
    9Ulsan HD82336:8-29
    10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:11-46
    11Shanghai Shenhua81165:13-84
    12Shanghai Port80442:11-94


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC852121:91217
    3Tractor852112:4817
    4Al Ittihad850322:91315
    5Al Wahda842211:7414
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd822412:16-48
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa82067:21-146
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)