Chengdu Rongcheng vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Result
1:1
25/11/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
pakistanPakistanTapmad
russiaRussiaTV Start
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
ukraineUkraineSport 1
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.08
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
66% (202/308)72% (300/417)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.770.51
Total shots
610
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
01
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
66% (202/308)72% (300/417)
Long passes
32% (24/74)36% (26/72)
Passes in final third
52% (49/94)60% (101/168)
Crosses
13% (1/8)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.351.04
Throw-ins
1527
Fouls
1713
Tackles
55% (6/11)57% (4/7)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
5918
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.511.77
Goals prevented
-0.490.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Letschert T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Felipe Silva (Pen),
  • 58', Romulo ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
  • 60', Arai N. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
  • 61', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Kato M. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
  • 70', Dong Y. ↓, Yuan Mincheng ↑,
  • 85', Arslan T. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
  • 90+2', Wei Shihao ↓, Li Moyu ↑,
  • 90+2', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Yan Dinghao ↑,
  • 90+3', Delgado P. ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
  • 90+5', Yan Dinghao 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Chengdu Rongcheng
28.1%		Draw
26.2%		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 26.5% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 26.9% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
    •

    Chengdu Rongcheng - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.36 ↓
    (3.9)    		 3.6
    (3.6)    		 2.07 ↑
    (1.95)    		 6%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chengdu Rongcheng - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 30.4% – 86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.95) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chengdu Rongcheng will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent form of Chengdu Rongcheng has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hiroshima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hiroshima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Hiroshima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
    22.11.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Chengdu Rongcheng 1:1 ✺
    04.11.2025 FC Seoul - Chengdu Rongcheng 0:0 ✺
    31.10.2025 Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen 1:2 ✺
    26.10.2025 Qingdao West Coast - Chengdu Rongcheng 2:2 ✺
    21.10.2025 Chengdu Rongcheng - Johor Darul Takzim 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    16.11.2025 Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:0 ✺
    04.11.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gangwon 1:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:3
    25.10.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:0 ✺
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Machida852115:7817
    2Vissel Kobe851214:7716
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima843110:6415
    4Buriram842210:8214
    5Melbourne City84229:7214
    6Johor DT83238:7111
    7Seoul824210:9110
    8Gangwon82339:11-29
    9Ulsan HD82336:8-29
    10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:11-46
    11Shanghai Shenhua81165:13-84
    12Shanghai Port80442:11-94


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC852121:91217
    3Tractor852112:4817
    4Al Ittihad850322:91315
    5Al Wahda842211:7414
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd822412:16-48
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa82067:21-146
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy