Result
1:1
25/11/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Russia | TV Start |
Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Ukraine | Sport 1 |
World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (202/308) | 72% (300/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (202/308) | 72% (300/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (24/74) | 36% (26/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (49/94) | 60% (101/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 59 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Letschert T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 0, Felipe Silva (Pen),
- 58', Romulo ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
- 60', Arai N. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
- 61', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Kato M. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
- 70', Dong Y. ↓, Yuan Mincheng ↑,
- 85', Arslan T. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 90+2', Wei Shihao ↓, Li Moyu ↑,
- 90+2', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Yan Dinghao ↑,
- 90+3', Delgado P. ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
- 90+5', Yan Dinghao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chengdu Rongcheng 28.1% | Draw 26.2% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Chengdu Rongcheng - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.36 ↓ (3.9) |
3.6 (3.6) |
2.07 ↑ (1.95) |
6% (4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chengdu Rongcheng - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.95) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Recent form of Chengdu Rongcheng has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hiroshima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hiroshima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Hiroshima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Chengdu Rongcheng won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Chengdu Rongcheng has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Chengdu Rongcheng?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chengdu Rongcheng - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe ✔ | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Machida ✔ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Melbourne City ✔ | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Seoul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Buriram | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Ulsan HD | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Gangwon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal ✔ | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Tractor ✔ | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Wahda ✔ | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Sharjah | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 9 | Al-Gharafa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Al-Sadd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | -15 | 1 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)