Result
1:2 penalties
17/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ukrainian Cup - 1/16-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Tverdokhlib Y. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Koydan V. (Pen),
- Penalties (1 - 3)
- 1, Novikov A. (Pen),
- 1, Tverdokhlib Y. (Pen),
- 2, Bybik A. (Pen),
- 2, Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. (Pen),
- 3, Kartushov Y. (Pen),
- 3, Mendoza G. (Pen),
- 4, Sakhno D. (Pen),
- 4, Paraco C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Chernihiv
15.8% | Draw
20.9% | Kryvbas
63.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kryvbas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kryvbas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chernihiv - Kryvbas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.88 ↓
(7.33) |
4.43 ↓
(5.05) |
1.47 ↑
(1.35) |
7.8%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Chernihiv has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kryvbas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Chernihiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Chernihiv has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Kryvbas is the undeniable favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Chernihiv won against Kryvbas?
Chernihiv has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kryvbas won against Chernihiv?
Kryvbas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernihiv - Kryvbas were as follows:
Latest results of Chernihiv
Latest results of Kryvbas
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Kolos Polonne | Naftovyk Dolyna | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Metalist 1925 | Obolon | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Oleksandriya | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 5 | Fazenda | SK Metalurh | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Uzhhorod | Fenix Mariupol | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Livyi Bereg | Kudrivka | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Viktoria | Vorskla Poltava | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Karbon Cherkasy | Inhulets | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | Skala 1911 | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Kormil Yavoriv | Rukh Lviv | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Polissya Zhytomyr | |
| 13 | Polissya Stavky | Rebel Kyiv | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
| 15 | Epitsentr | Ahrotekh Tyshkivka | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Ch. Odesa | FK Zorya Luhansk | 2 : 1 |
| 17 | Nyva Vinnytsya | UCSA | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Hirnyk-Sport | Trostyanets | 1 : 0 |
| 19 | Metalist Kharkiv | Mayak Sarny | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | LNZ Cherkasy | Probiy Horodenka | 1 : 0 |
| 21 | FC Vilkhivtsi | Olympia Savyntsi | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Chaika | Lisne | 0 : 4 |
| 23 | Denhoff Denykhivka | Prykarpattya | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | FC Chernihiv | Atlet Kiev | 1 : 0 |
| 26 | Kulikiv | Kryvbas | 0 : 3 |
| 27 | Lozova | Bukovyna | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Penuel Kryvyi Rih | Karpaty Lviv | 0 : 8 |
| 29 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | Kolos Kovalivka | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Korosten | Veres-Rivne | 0 : 4 |
| 31 | Real Pharma | Nyva Ternopil | 0 : 3 |
| 32 | Iron | SC Poltava | 1 : 5 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Kolos Polonne | Metalist 1925 | |
| 2 | Oleksandriya | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | SK Metalurh | Fenix Mariupol | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Livyi Bereg | Viktoria | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Inhulets | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | |
| 6 | Rukh Lviv | Polissya Zhytomyr | |
| 7 | Polissya Stavky | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Ahrotekh Tyshkivka | Ch. Odesa | |
| 9 | Nyva Vinnytsya | Hirnyk-Sport | |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | LNZ Cherkasy | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Olympia Savyntsi | Lisne | |
| 12 | Denhoff Denykhivka | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | Kryvbas | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bukovyna | Karpaty Lviv | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | Veres-Rivne | |
| 16 | Nyva Ternopil | SC Poltava | 3 : 0 |
