Chernihiv vs Kryvbas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Cup Chernihiv - Kryvbas
Result
1:2 penalties
17/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ukrainian Cup - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Tverdokhlib Y. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Koydan V. (Pen),
  • Penalties (1 - 3)
  • 1, Novikov A. (Pen),
  • 1, Tverdokhlib Y. (Pen),
  • 2, Bybik A. (Pen),
  • 2, Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. (Pen),
  • 3, Kartushov Y. (Pen),
  • 3, Mendoza G. (Pen),
  • 4, Sakhno D. (Pen),
  • 4, Paraco C. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Chernihiv
15.8%
Draw
20.9%
Kryvbas
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.7% 18.4% 68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2% 17.6% 71.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kryvbas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kryvbas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chernihiv - Kryvbas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.07
    (7.33)
    4.15
    (5.05)
    1.56
    (1.35)
    7.9%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Chernihiv has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kryvbas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chernihiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chernihiv has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Kryvbas is the undeniable favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Chernihiv
    Latest results of Kryvbas
    30.08.2025 Kryvbas - Obolon 2:1
    24.08.2025 Kulykiv-Bilka - Kryvbas 0:3
    18.08.2025 Zorya Luhansk - Kryvbas 2:3
    09.08.2025 Kryvbas - Metalist 1925 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Livyi BeregKudrivka1 : 0
    2ViktoriaVorskla Poltava1 : 0
    3Karbon CherkasyInhulets1 : 2
    4Podillya KhmelnytskyiSkala 19111 : 0
    5OleksandriyaBye
    6ByeDyn. Kyiv
    7Polissya StavkyRebel Kyiv3 : 0
    8ByeShakhtar Donetsk
    9EpitsentrAhrotekh Tyshkivka1 : 2
    10Ch. OdesaFK Zorya Luhansk2 : 1
    11FazendaSK Metalurh0 : 1
    12UzhhorodFenix Mariupol1 : 2
    13LozovaBukovyna0 : 3
    14Penuel Kryvyi RihKarpaty Lviv0 : 8
    15Real PharmaNyva Ternopil0 : 3
    16IronSC Poltava1 : 5
    17FC ChernihivAtlet Kiev1 : 0
    18KulikivKryvbas0 : 3
    19FC VilkhivtsiOlympia Savyntsi1 : 2
    20ChaikaLisne0 : 4
    21Metalist KharkivMayak Sarny2 : 0
    22LNZ CherkasyProbiy Horodenka1 : 0
    23Kormil YavorivRukh Lviv1 : 2
    24ByePolissya Zhytomyr
    25Denhoff DenykhivkaPrykarpattya3 : 2
    26Dinaz VyshgorodAhrobiznes Volochysk0 : 3
    27Kolos PolonneNaftovyk Dolyna1 : 0
    28Metalist 1925Obolon2 : 0
    29Lokomotyv KyivKolos Kovalivka3 : 2
    30KorostenVeres-Rivne0 : 4
    31Nyva VinnytsyaUCSA3 : 0
    32Hirnyk-SportTrostyanets1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Livyi BeregViktoria0 : 1
    2InhuletsPodillya Khmelnytskyi4 : 1
    3OleksandriyaDyn. Kyiv1 : 2
    4Polissya StavkyShakhtar Donetsk0 : 1
    5Ahrotekh TyshkivkaCh. Odesa2 : 1
    6SK MetalurhFenix Mariupol1 : 2
    7BukovynaKarpaty Lviv1 : 0
    8Nyva TernopilSC Poltava3 : 0
    9FC ChernihivKryvbas3 : 0
    10Olympia SavyntsiLisne1 : 2
    11Metalist KharkivLNZ Cherkasy0 : 2
    12Rukh LvivPolissya Zhytomyr3 : 0
    13Denhoff DenykhivkaAhrobiznes Volochysk0 : 2
    14Kolos PolonneMetalist 19251 : 4
    15Lokomotyv KyivVeres-Rivne1 : 0
    16Nyva VinnytsyaHirnyk-Sport7 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ViktoriaInhulets
    2Dyn. KyivShakhtar Donetsk
    3Ahrotekh TyshkivkaFenix Mariupol
    4BukovynaNyva Ternopil
    5FC ChernihivLisne
    6LNZ CherkasyRukh Lviv
    7Ahrobiznes VolochyskMetalist 1925
    8Lokomotyv KyivNyva Vinnytsya