Result
2:0
13/10/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Kulyk D. ⚽,
- 25', Pedro Acacio ↓, Castro P. ↑,
- 34', Yevdokymov A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 0, Shalfeev Y. ⚽,
- 64', Kireev A. ↓, Khovayko K. ↑,
- 64', Wendell ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 66', Porokhnya A. ↓, Chaban V. ↑,
- 66', Myronenko D. ↓, Zenchenko O. ↑,
- 68', 🟨,
- 78', Bezgubchenko D. ↓, Volskyi D. ↑,
- 88', Kulyk D. ↓, Novikov A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chernihiv 42.1% | Draw 28.8% | UCSA 29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernihiv's performance.UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UCSA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernihiv that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCSA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chernihiv - UCSA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.3 ↓ (3.08) |
3.36 ↑ (2.95) |
3.33 ↑ (2.32) |
3.3% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 10).
- Chernihiv is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- UCSA's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Chernihiv won against UCSA?
Chernihiv has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UCSA won against Chernihiv?
UCSA has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernihiv - UCSA were as follows:
Latest results of Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bukovyna | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 30:10 | 20 | 35 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 20:4 | 16 | 31 |
| 3 | Inhulets | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Livyi Bereg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Prykarpattya | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Viktoria | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Vorskla Poltava | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 | Probiy Horodenka | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | UCSA | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Fenix Mariupol | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | SK Metalurh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4:22 | -18 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Druha Liga