Chernihiv vs UCSA – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
13/10/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Persha Liga - Round 11

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Kulyk D. ,
  • 25', Pedro Acacio , Castro P. ,
  • 34', Yevdokymov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Shalfeev Y. ,
  • 64', Kireev A. , Khovayko K. ,
  • 64', Wendell , Romarinho ,
  • 66', Porokhnya A. , Chaban V. ,
  • 66', Myronenko D. , Zenchenko O. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 78', Bezgubchenko D. , Volskyi D. ,
  • 88', Kulyk D. , Novikov A. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Chernihiv
42.1%
Draw
28.8%
UCSA
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 31% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 30.3% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernihiv's performance.
  • UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UCSA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernihiv that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCSA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chernihiv - UCSA Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (3.08)
    3.36
    (2.95)
    3.33
    (2.32)
    3.3%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chernihiv - UCSA?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chernihiv (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 10).
    • Chernihiv is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • UCSA's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Chernihiv
    28.09.2025 Nyva Ternopil - Chernihiv 2:0
    21.09.2025 Chernihiv - Metalist Kharkiv Delayed
    17.09.2025 Chernihiv - Kryvbas 1:2
    Latest results of UCSA
    05.10.2025 Viktoriya Sumy - UCSA 2:0
    27.09.2025 UCSA - Probiy Horodenka 0:0
    14.09.2025 UCSA - Inhulets 0:0
    Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bukovyna19163045:143151
    2Ch. Odesa19125228:111741
    3Livyi Bereg19124331:121940
    4Inhulets19106332:171536
    5Ahrobiznes Volochysk19104521:17434
    6Prykarpattya1975724:21326
    7Nyva Ternopil1966718:22-424
    8UCSA1965818:21-323
    9Vorskla Poltava1956816:19-321
    10Viktoria19541022:28-619
    11Fenix Mariupol19541015:23-819
    12Metalist Kharkiv1854917:22-519
    13FC Chernihiv1854917:24-719
    14Podillya Khmelnytskyi19451016:29-1317
    15Probiy Horodenka19441117:29-1216
    16SK Metalurh1925129:37-2811

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