Result
0:2
02/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Bezborodko D. ⚽,
- 41', 🟨,
- 41', 🟨,
- 43', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 2, Bezgubchenko D. ⚽,
- 72', Zakhidnyi P. 🟨,
- 73', 🟨,
- 77', 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
UCSA
37.3% | Draw
31.3% | Chernihiv
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCSA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
UCSA - Chernihiv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.09) |
2.89 ↓
(3.01) |
2.87 ↓
(3.13) |
10.8%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).
- UCSA is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Chernihiv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- UCSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- UCSA might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, UCSA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has UCSA won against Chernihiv?
UCSA has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chernihiv won against UCSA?
Chernihiv has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UCSA - Chernihiv were as follows:
13.10.2025
Chernihiv
-
UCSA
2:0
Latest results of Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bukovyna ✔ | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 58:18 | 40 | 72 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 35:17 | 18 | 54 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 50 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 46 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 6 | UCSA | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 33 |
| 7 | Prykarpattya | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 32 |
| 8 | Viktoria | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32:32 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Nyva Ternopil | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 30 |
| 10 | FC Chernihiv | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Probiy Horodenka | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26:31 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | Fenix Mariupol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 26:32 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 | Vorskla Poltava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 20:26 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | Metalist Kharkiv | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 18:39 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 | SK Metalurh | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15:50 | -35 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Druha Liga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bukovyna is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
