Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna
Result
0:1
22/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 9
  • Referee: Minev V. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
168
Throw-ins
3026
Fouls
714

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Idowu D. 🟥,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Zlatev N. , Sidney C. (A),
  • 32', Vutov A. , Yusein S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Sidney C. 🟨,
  • 60', Joao Pedro , Phellipe ,
  • 60', Teles D. , Lazarov G. ,
  • 64', Karagaren B. 🟨,
  • 65', Karagaren B. , Popov I. ,
  • 65', Kabov A. , Shinyashiki A. ,
  • 73', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
  • 79', Zlatev N. , Milushev M. ,
  • 81', Kovachev S. , Mane I. ,
  • 90+1', Sidney C. , Gustavo Franca ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/38kxh4ps

Chances of winning


Arda Kardzhali
36.7%
Draw
31.9%
Cherno More Varna
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 29.4% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 29.8% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.21)
    2.95
    (3.1)
    2.99
    (3.1)
    6.6%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Cherno More will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arda (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1.
    • Arda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cherno More has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Arda won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna 0:0
    04.05.2025 Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali 1:1
    02.04.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna 4:0
    15.09.2024 Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali 1:1
    07.11.2023 Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali 1:0
    Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
    Latest results of Cherno More Varna
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSKA 1948 Sofia1071218:9922
    2Levski Sofia962115:51020
    3Lok. Plovdiv1054110:9119
    4Ludogorets853014:31118
    5Cherno More953114:5918
    6Lok. Sofia92529:7211
    7Botev Vratsa92527:7011
    8Montana93247:13-611
    9Spartak Varna924310:10010
    10Beroe82429:11-210
    11Arda92349:10-19
    12CSKA Sofia91538:9-18
    13Dobrudzha92168:14-67
    14Botev Plovdiv92169:16-77
    15Slavia Sofia91359:16-76
    16Septemvri Sofia92079:21-126

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