Result
0:1
22/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 9
- Referee: Minev V. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Idowu D. 🟥,
- 28', 0 - 1, Zlatev N. ⚽, Sidney C. (A),
- 32', Vutov A. ↓, Yusein S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Sidney C. 🟨,
- 60', Joao Pedro ↓, Phellipe ↑,
- 60', Teles D. ↓, Lazarov G. ↑,
- 64', Karagaren B. 🟨,
- 65', Karagaren B. ↓, Popov I. ↑,
- 65', Kabov A. ↓, Shinyashiki A. ↑,
- 73', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
- 79', Zlatev N. ↓, Milushev M. ↑,
- 81', Kovachev S. ↓, Mane I. ↑,
- 90+1', Sidney C. ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/38kxh4ps
Chances of winning
Arda Kardzhali
36.7% | Draw
31.9% | Cherno More Varna
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.21) |
2.95 ↓
(3.1) |
2.99 ↓
(3.1) |
6.6%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Cherno More will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arda (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1.
- Arda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Cherno More has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Arda won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Cherno More Varna?
Arda Kardzhali has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cherno More Varna won against Arda Kardzhali?
Cherno More Varna has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna were as follows:
18.05.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Cherno More Varna
0:0
04.05.2025
Cherno More Varna
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:1
02.04.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Cherno More Varna
4:0
15.09.2024
Cherno More Varna
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:1
07.11.2023
Cherno More Varna
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:0
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Latest results of Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Lok. Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Beroe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Arda | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 | Slavia Sofia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dobrudzha | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8:18 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
