Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 16
  • Referee: Ginchev G. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
48
Corner Kicks
106
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
98
Corner Kicks
106
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1513
Throw-ins
3827
Fouls
1114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Bidounga R. ,
  • 43', Katsarov B. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Galchev P. , Ali D. ,
  • 45+5', Bidounga R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Luann , Dost E. ,
  • 59', Lyaskov A. 🟨,
  • 59', Zlatev N. , Calcan A. ,
  • 59', Gustavo Franca , Phellipe ,
  • 61', Delev S. , Minchev G. ,
  • 61', Caue Caruzo , Diego Raposo ,
  • 64', Joao Pedro , Milushev M. ,
  • 74', Panayotov V. , Lazarov G. ,
  • 75', Stanoev K. , Octavio ,
  • 87', Daskalov R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cherno More Varna
55.7%
Draw
25.8%
Lokomotiv Sofia
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 25.7% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 25% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.57)
    3.57
    (3.6)
    5.13
    (6)
    6.9%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Cherno More (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cherno More Varna will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cherno More Varna will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Cherno More is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna 1:1
    03.12.2024 Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia 4:0
    04.08.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna 2:1
    04.04.2024 Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia 3:0
    01.10.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna 0:0
    Latest results of Cherno More Varna
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia31234467:234473
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia31195752:322062
    3Ludogorets31179558:223660
    4CSKA Sofia31168744:261856

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