Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs KAMAZ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 12
  • Referee: Zhabchenko A. (Ukr)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
122
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
213
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
122
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
91
Corner Kicks
213
Free Kicks
1718

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Sultonov M. 🟨,
  • 13', Puzanov S. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Zhigulev I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Deryugin A. , Abdullahi S. ,
  • 46', Karaev D. , Shamkin D. ,
  • 49', Yudintsev G. 🟨,
  • 52', Yudintsev G. , Golybin R. ,
  • 61', Aliev S. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 64', Tarba Z. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 64', Rodionov I. , Gurchenko D. ,
  • 72', Ayukin R. , Abdullaev S. ,
  • 75', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 80', Khubaev D. , Solodukhin A. ,
  • 82', Zhigulev I. , Lozhkin V. ,
  • 88', Shtepa M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
38.2%
Draw
31.4%
KAMAZ
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 33.7% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 34.2% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.
  • KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Novorossiysk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.8)
    3.03
    (2.75)
    3.13
    (2.8)
    5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3.
    • Chernomorets is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • KAMAZ has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • KAMAZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ 2:1
    07.09.2024 KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:1
    20.04.2024 KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:0
    18.10.2023 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ 1:0
    27.08.2023 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ 0:0
    Latest results of KAMAZ
    25.09.2025 KAMAZ - Spartak Kostroma 1:0
    20.09.2025 KAMAZ - Shinnik 0:0
    14.09.2025 Rotor - KAMAZ 3:0
    07.09.2025 KAMAZ - Torpedo Moscow 1:1
    03.09.2025 Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ 0:2
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh22163330:111951
    2Ural22125530:191141
    3Rodina Moscow22109330:171339
    4S. Kostroma2298531:25635
    5Chelyabinsk2298528:20835
    6Kamaz2289537:251233
    7SKA Khabarovsk2288624:22232
    8R. Volgograd2287725:18731
    9Neftekhimik22710527:24331
    10Arsenal Tula22611530:26429
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl2268819:21-226
    12Yenisey2259815:26-1124
    13Torpedo Moscow22661019:29-1024
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk22661025:29-424
    15Ulyanovsk22651125:35-1023
    16Ufa22481024:31-720
    17Saratov222101010:23-1316
    18FK Chayka22261419:47-2812

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