Result
1:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 12
- Referee: Zhabchenko A. (Ukr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Sultonov M. 🟨,
- 13', Puzanov S. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Zhigulev I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Deryugin A. ↓, Abdullahi S. ↑,
- 46', Karaev D. ↓, Shamkin D. ↑,
- 49', Yudintsev G. 🟨,
- 52', Yudintsev G. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
- 61', Aliev S. ↓, Kukharchuk I. ↑,
- 64', Tarba Z. ↓, Zarypbekov E. ↑,
- 64', Rodionov I. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑,
- 72', Ayukin R. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
- 75', Puzanov S. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
- 80', Khubaev D. ↓, Solodukhin A. ↑,
- 82', Zhigulev I. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
- 88', Shtepa M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 38.2% | Draw 31.4% | KAMAZ 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Novorossiysk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↓ (2.8) |
3.03 ↑ (2.75) |
3.13 ↑ (2.8) |
5% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3.
- Chernomorets is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- KAMAZ has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- KAMAZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against KAMAZ?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KAMAZ won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
KAMAZ has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ were as follows:
24.11.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
KAMAZ
2:1
07.09.2024
KAMAZ
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:1
20.04.2024
KAMAZ
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
1:0
18.10.2023
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
KAMAZ
1:0
27.08.2023
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
KAMAZ
0:0
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 33 |
| 2 | Ural | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Yenisey | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Ufa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 | Saratov | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 14 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 11 |
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