KAMAZ vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 25
  • Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
54
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
96
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
54
Corner kicks
54
Free kicks
2019

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Nikolaev O. ,
  • 18', Suslov K. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Sultonov M. ,
  • 33', 2 - 1, Ayukin R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Zhigulev I. 🟨,
  • 52', Zashchepkin R. 🟨,
  • 58', Semenov V. , Revazov A. ,
  • 61', Zhilkin G. 🟨,
  • 72', Zashchepkin R. , Deryugin A. ,
  • 73', Nikolaev O. , Antonov A. ,
  • 73', Shamkin D. , Solodukhin A. ,
  • 79', Morozov K. , Sutugin I. ,
  • 82', Sultonov M. , Abdullaev S. ,
  • 83', Karaev D. , Roshchin A. ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Solodukhin A. ,
  • 90+3', Khubulov A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KAMAZ
48.7%
Draw
28.8%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 27.9% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 27.6% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.83)
    3.23
    (3.4)
    4.13
    (4.66)
    7.7%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KAMAZ won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Chernomorets has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, KAMAZ is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, KAMAZ won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KAMAZ won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    29.09.2025 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ 1:0
    24.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ 2:1
    07.09.2024 KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:1
    20.04.2024 KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:0
    18.10.2023 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ 1:0
    Latest results of KAMAZ
    14.03.2026 KAMAZ - Rotor 1:1
    27.02.2026 KAMAZ - Arsenal Tula 1:1
    16.02.2026 KAMAZ - Lokomotiv Tashkent 1:0
    09.02.2026 Krylya Sovetov - KAMAZ 0:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh24164430:121852
    2Rodina Moscow251210339:211846
    3Ural25136635:241145
    4S. Kostroma25911536:30638
    5Kamaz25910641:281337
    6Chelyabinsk25910633:26737
    7R. Volgograd2599728:20836
    8Neftekhimik24810630:27334
    9SKA Khabarovsk2589827:30-333
    10Arsenal Tula25711733:30332
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl25710822:23-131
    12Yenisey25710821:29-831
    13Torpedo Moscow25861123:31-830
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk25771129:32-328
    15Ulyanovsk25761229:39-1027
    16Ufa25681128:33-526
    17FK Chayka25371523:53-3016
    18Saratov252101310:29-1916

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