Rotor vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 14
  • Referee: Zakharov I. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
53
Free Kicks
1414

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Bardybakhin V. 🟨,
  • 28', Nikolaev O. 🟨,
  • 43', Rodionov I. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Pokidyshev N. , Fomin D. ,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Maltsev M. ,
  • 60', Aliev S. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 60', Tarba Z. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 60', Antonov A. , Lozhkin V. ,
  • 62', Fomin D. 🟨,
  • 66', Simonyan A. , Kaynov M. ,
  • 67', Khokhlachev A. , Lavrishchev D. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 70', Puzanov S. , Kasimov T. ,
  • 81', Maltsev M. , Sasin D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Kaynov M. ,
  • 83', Arbuzov Y. , Aznaurov I. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Fomin D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rotor
45.3%
Draw
31.7%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 31.1% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 33.4% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.15)
    3.03
    (3.03)
    4.17
    (3.77)
    4.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 1.
    • Recent performances by Rotor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chernomorets is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Rotor has had a series of away games.
    • Rotor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rotor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor 1:1
    20.09.2024 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:2
    21.05.2023 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    25.03.2023 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:0
    18.09.2022 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor 0:0
    Latest results of Rotor
    28.09.2025 Shinnik - Rotor 2:0
    24.09.2025 Veles Moscow - Rotor 2:1
    20.09.2025 Ural - Rotor 0:0
    14.09.2025 Rotor - KAMAZ 3:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh22163330:111951
    2Ural22125530:191141
    3Rodina Moscow22109330:171339
    4S. Kostroma2298531:25635
    5Chelyabinsk2298528:20835
    6Kamaz2289537:251233
    7SKA Khabarovsk2288624:22232
    8R. Volgograd2287725:18731
    9Neftekhimik22710527:24331
    10Arsenal Tula22611530:26429
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl2268819:21-226
    12Yenisey2259815:26-1124
    13Torpedo Moscow22661019:29-1024
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk22661025:29-424
    15Ulyanovsk22651125:35-1023
    16Ufa22481024:31-720
    17Saratov222101010:23-1316
    18FK Chayka22261419:47-2812

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