Rotor vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Result
2:0
12/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 14
  • Referee: Zakharov I. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
53
Free Kicks
1414

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Bardybakhin V. 🟨,
  • 28', Nikolaev O. 🟨,
  • 43', Rodionov I. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Pokidyshev N. , Fomin D. ,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Maltsev M. ,
  • 60', Aliev S. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 60', Tarba Z. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 60', Antonov A. , Lozhkin V. ,
  • 62', Fomin D. 🟨,
  • 66', Simonyan A. , Kaynov M. ,
  • 67', Khokhlachev A. , Lavrishchev D. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 70', Puzanov S. , Kasimov T. ,
  • 81', Maltsev M. , Sasin D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Kaynov M. ,
  • 83', Arbuzov Y. , Aznaurov I. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Fomin D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rotor
45.3%
Draw
31.7%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 31.1% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 33.4% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.15)
    3.03
    (3.03)
    4.17
    (3.77)
    4.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 1.
    • Recent performances by Rotor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chernomorets is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Rotor has had a series of away games.
    • Rotor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rotor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor 1:1
    20.09.2024 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:2
    21.05.2023 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    25.03.2023 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:0
    18.09.2022 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor 0:0
    Latest results of Rotor
    28.09.2025 Shinnik - Rotor 2:0
    24.09.2025 Veles Moscow - Rotor 2:1
    20.09.2025 Ural - Rotor 0:0
    14.09.2025 Rotor - KAMAZ 3:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh15103217:8933
    2S. Kostroma1585222:14829
    3Ural1483322:15727
    4Rodina Moscow1575323:14926
    5R. Volgograd1574420:11925
    6Chelyabinsk1466220:12824
    7Kamaz1565423:17623
    8SKA Khabarovsk1555515:16-120
    9Neftekhimik1547416:17-119
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1546510:11-118
    11Yenisey1545612:16-417
    12Arsenal Tula1538422:20217
    13Chernomorets Novorossijsk1544719:20-116
    14Ulyanovsk1543817:27-1015
    15Ufa1527615:18-313
    16Saratov151868:16-811
    17FK Chayka1525812:29-1711
    18Torpedo Moscow1525810:22-1211

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