Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Rotor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
29/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 26
  • Referee: Cheremnykh M. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusSport TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Planeta, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Corner kicks
31
Yellow cards
50
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
31
Free kicks
1518

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Arbuzov Y. , Rodionov I. ,
  • 31', Pliev Z. 🟨,
  • 35', Konovalov I. 🟨,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Kukharchuk I. , Antonov A. ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Eldarushev A. ,
  • 62', Suslov K. , Pomeshkin K. ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Eldarushev A. ,
  • 67', Safronov I. , Simonyan A. ,
  • 68', Eldarushev A. , Aliev S. ,
  • 69', Nikolaev O. , Chistyakov N. ,
  • 70', Konovalov I. , Magomedov Z. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Zhilkin G. ,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Aliev S. ,
  • 79', Zhigulev I. , Sutugin I. ,
  • 85', Morozov K. 🟨,
  • 85', Kaynov M. , Dadic T. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Aliev S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
30.7%
Draw
32%
Rotor
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 35% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 35.4% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (3.61)
    3
    (2.73)
    2.56
    (2.48)
    4.5%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chernomorets will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Chernomorets (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1.
    • Chernomorets is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rotor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:0
    13.04.2025 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor 1:1
    20.09.2024 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:2
    21.05.2023 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    25.03.2023 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:0
    Latest results of Rotor
    20.03.2026 Rotor - Fakel 1:0
    14.03.2026 KAMAZ - Rotor 1:1
    09.03.2026 Rotor - Ural 1:1
    28.02.2026 Spartak Kostroma - Rotor 1:1
    18.02.2026 Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk 1:3
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh27185434:132159
    2Rodina Moscow271410345:232252
    3Ural28147741:271449
    4R. Volgograd28129736:221445
    5S. Kostroma281111640:33744
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk28912737:31639
    8Yenisey28910927:32-537
    9Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    10Arsenal Tula28812838:34436
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl28812823:23036
    12Torpedo Moscow28981129:34-535
    13SKA Khabarovsk28811931:37-635
    14Ulyanovsk28871331:41-1031
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk28781332:39-729
    16Ufa286101229:35-628
    17FK Chayka28471726:63-3719
    18Saratov282101612:36-2416

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation