Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Rotor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
29/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 26
  • Referee: Cheremnykh M. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusSport TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Planeta, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Corner kicks
31
Yellow cards
50
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
31
Free kicks
1518

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Arbuzov Y. , Rodionov I. ,
  • 31', Pliev Z. 🟨,
  • 35', Konovalov I. 🟨,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Kukharchuk I. , Antonov A. ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Eldarushev A. ,
  • 62', Suslov K. , Pomeshkin K. ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Eldarushev A. ,
  • 67', Safronov I. , Simonyan A. ,
  • 68', Eldarushev A. , Aliev S. ,
  • 69', Nikolaev O. , Chistyakov N. ,
  • 70', Konovalov I. , Magomedov Z. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Zhilkin G. ,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Aliev S. ,
  • 79', Zhigulev I. , Sutugin I. ,
  • 85', Morozov K. 🟨,
  • 85', Kaynov M. , Dadic T. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Aliev S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
30.7%
Draw
32%
Rotor
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 35% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 35.4% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (3.61)
    3
    (2.73)
    2.56
    (2.48)
    4.5%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chernomorets will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Chernomorets (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1.
    • Chernomorets is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rotor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:0
    13.04.2025 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor 1:1
    20.09.2024 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:2
    21.05.2023 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    25.03.2023 Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:0
    Latest results of Rotor
    20.03.2026 Rotor - Fakel 1:0
    14.03.2026 KAMAZ - Rotor 1:1
    09.03.2026 Rotor - Ural 1:1
    28.02.2026 Spartak Kostroma - Rotor 1:1
    18.02.2026 Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk 1:3
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    2Fakel Voronezh31187639:221761
    3Ural31177748:282058
    4R. Volgograd311410740:231752
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey311210936:32446
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl311013830:25543
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    11Torpedo Moscow311091233:38-539
    12Arsenal Tula31814939:37238
    13Ulyanovsk31991333:42-936
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka31571930:67-3722
    18Saratov313101813:43-3019

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