Aveley vs Chesham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League South Aveley - Chesham United
Result
1:1
11/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: National League South - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Owen T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Lench M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Aveley
28.5%
Draw
28.4%
Chesham United
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 26.4% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 25.9% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aveley's form might have worsened.
  • Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aveley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aveley - Chesham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.61)
    3.24
    (3.48)
    2.13
    (2.39)
    8.8%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Aveley has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Chesham is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Aveley have a series of guest games.
    • Chesham will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aveley - Chesham United were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Chesham United - Aveley 3:2
    Latest results of Aveley
    01.01.2025 Chelmsford City - Aveley 1:0
    26.12.2024 Aveley - Hornchurch 1:1
    21.12.2024 Bath City - Aveley 3:0
    14.12.2024 Tonbridge Angels - Aveley 2:1
    07.12.2024 Barnet - Aveley 2:0
    Latest results of Chesham United
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hornchurch44009:4512
    2Dover43017:439
    3Ebbsfleet43014:229
    4Hemel Hempstead42206:338
    5Maidstone42205:238
    6Chesham42205:328
    7Torquay42118:537
    8Hampton & Richmond42115:327
    9Bath42115:327
    10Weston-super-Mare42115:417
    11Chelmsford42113:217
    12AFC Totton42027:616
    13Worthing41215:505
    14Horsham FC41125:6-14
    15Slough41122:3-14
    16Farnborough41125:7-24
    17Dorking41124:7-34
    18Tonbridge40312:5-33
    19Maidenhead40223:5-22
    20Dag & Red40223:6-32
    21Enfield Town40221:4-32
    22Salisbury40220:3-32
    23Chippenham40134:7-31
    24Eastbourne Boro40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation