Aveley vs Chesham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: National League South - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Owen T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Lench M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Aveley
28.5%
Draw
28.4%
Chesham United
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 26.4% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 25.9% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aveley's form might have worsened.
  • Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aveley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aveley - Chesham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.61)
    3.24
    (3.48)
    2.13
    (2.39)
    8.8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Aveley has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Chesham is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Aveley have a series of guest games.
    • Chesham will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aveley - Chesham United were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Chesham United - Aveley 3:2
    Latest results of Aveley
    01.01.2025 Chelmsford City - Aveley 1:0
    26.12.2024 Aveley - Hornchurch 1:1
    21.12.2024 Bath City - Aveley 3:0
    14.12.2024 Tonbridge Angels - Aveley 2:1
    07.12.2024 Barnet - Aveley 2:0
    Latest results of Chesham United
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dorking39228970:472374
    2Worthing392081181:433868
    3Hemel Hempstead382071145:40567
    4Hornchurch381991063:521166
    5Maidenhead391981256:352165
    6Ebbsfleet4018111161:491265
    7Torquay391971368:551364
    8Weston-super-Mare371961252:391363
    9Maidstone4017101357:421561
    10Chelmsford371861356:47960
    11Chesham381781351:411059
    12Dag & Red4016111351:45659
    13Tonbridge4014111554:56-253
    14AFC Totton381651748:62-1453
    15Horsham FC3913131346:45152
    16Slough401481859:67-850
    17Dover3913101655:58-349
    18Hampton & Richmond4012101849:61-1246
    19Salisbury4012101841:55-1446
    20Farnborough3910101953:77-2440
    21Chippenham401082247:71-2438
    22Bath377121836:57-2133
    23Enfield Town387112043:69-2632
    24Eastbourne Boro40872549:78-2931

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation