Result
2:1
06/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 21
Chances of winning
Chesham United 48.6% | Draw 24.2% | Merthyr Town 27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesham United's form might have worsened.Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merthyr Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merthyr Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chesham United - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↑ (1.61) |
3.76 ↓ (4.05) |
3.35 ↓ (4.3) |
9.8% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chesham United - Merthyr Town?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Chesham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Merthyr will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 4.
- Chesham in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Merthyr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Merthyr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Chesham have a series of home games.
- Chesham will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Chesham to win the game is with odds 1.8.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Chesham won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesham United won against Merthyr Town?
Chesham United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Chesham United?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesham United - Merthyr Town were as follows:
09.09.2023
Merthyr Town
-
Chesham United
1:3
07.03.2023
Chesham United
-
Merthyr Town
1:2
11.02.2023
Merthyr Town
-
Chesham United
0:1
Latest results of Chesham United
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 30:14 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Gloucester | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31:16 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Poole | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27:15 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Wimborne | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:12 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Gosport | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 28:21 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Sholing | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Evesham | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Uxbridge | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 21:19 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Berkhamsted | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Farnham | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 17 |
| 11 | Chertsey | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Hanwell Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Basingstoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Taunton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Hungerford | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Plymouth Parkway | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Dorchester | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Weymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 12 |
| 19 | Havant & W | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 11 |
| 20 | Yate Town | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 21 | Tiverton | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 |
| 22 | Bracknell | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ National League South
Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
Relegation