Result
2:1
06/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 21
Chances of winning
Chesham United 48.6% | Draw 24.2% | Merthyr Town 27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesham United's form might have worsened.Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merthyr Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merthyr Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chesham United - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↑ (1.61) |
3.76 ↓ (4.05) |
3.35 ↓ (4.3) |
9.8% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chesham United - Merthyr Town?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Chesham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Merthyr will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 4.
- Chesham in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Merthyr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Merthyr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Chesham have a series of home games.
- Chesham will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Chesham to win the game is with odds 1.8.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Chesham won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesham United won against Merthyr Town?
Chesham United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Chesham United?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesham United - Merthyr Town were as follows:
09.09.2023
Merthyr Town
-
Chesham United
1:3
07.03.2023
Chesham United
-
Merthyr Town
1:2
11.02.2023
Merthyr Town
-
Chesham United
0:1
Latest results of Chesham United
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 85:30 | 55 | 85 |
| 2 | Farnham | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 79:42 | 37 | 68 |
| 3 | Gloucester | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 75:46 | 29 | 67 |
| 4 | Poole | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 70:42 | 28 | 65 |
| 5 | Chertsey | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 58:45 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | Sholing | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 63:44 | 19 | 58 |
| 7 | Gosport | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 63:56 | 7 | 57 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 50:45 | 5 | 57 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 62:60 | 2 | 50 |
| 10 | Havant & W | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 62:61 | 1 | 48 |
| 11 | Bracknell | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 55:63 | -8 | 47 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 47:51 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 47:53 | -6 | 41 |
| 14 | Basingstoke | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 50:61 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Weymouth | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 46:62 | -16 | 40 |
| 16 | Plymouth Parkway | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45:67 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Evesham | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 18 | Dorchester | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 45:64 | -19 | 38 |
| 19 | Hungerford | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 45:75 | -30 | 37 |
| 20 | Yate Town | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 41:56 | -15 | 35 |
| 21 | Taunton | 35 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 52:66 | -14 | 34 |
| 22 | Tiverton ✔ | 32 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 30:79 | -49 | 15 |
Promotion ~ National League South
Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tiverton is Relegated to