Chesham United vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Southern League South Division Chesham United - Merthyr Town
Result
2:1
06/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 21

Chances of winning


Chesham United
48.6%
Draw
24.2%
Merthyr Town
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 22.4% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 21.4% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesham United's form might have worsened.
  • Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merthyr Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merthyr Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chesham United - Merthyr Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.61)
    3.76
    (4.05)
    3.35
    (4.3)
    9.8%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chesham United - Merthyr Town?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chesham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Merthyr will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 4.
    • Chesham in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Merthyr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Merthyr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Chesham have a series of home games.
    • Chesham will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Chesham to win the game is with odds 1.8.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Chesham won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesham United - Merthyr Town were as follows:
    09.09.2023 Merthyr Town - Chesham United 1:3
    07.03.2023 Chesham United - Merthyr Town 1:2
    11.02.2023 Merthyr Town - Chesham United 0:1
    Latest results of Chesham United
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    English Southern League South Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walton & Hersham971123:111222
    2Gloucester962121:101120
    3Farnham945020:12817
    4Sholing944117:11616
    5Wimborne943216:10615
    6Taunton943217:14315
    7Poole843111:10115
    8Gosport942316:14214
    9Evesham934213:11213
    10Hungerford941412:14-213
    11Hanwell Town933312:9312
    12Uxbridge926113:14-112
    13Chertsey932410:10011
    14Berkhamsted93248:14-611
    15Havant & W831412:14-210
    16Basingstoke923414:15-19
    17Weymouth1023511:17-69
    18Yate Town102359:17-89
    19Tiverton92169:16-77
    20Plymouth Parkway1013614:22-86
    21Dorchester913511:19-86
    22Bracknell812512:17-55

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