Chesham United vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 21

Chances of winning


Chesham United
48.6%
Draw
24.2%
Merthyr Town
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 22.4% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 21.4% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesham United's form might have worsened.
  • Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merthyr Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merthyr Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chesham United - Merthyr Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.61)
    3.76
    (4.05)
    3.35
    (4.3)
    9.8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Chesham United - Merthyr Town?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chesham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Merthyr will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 4.
    • Chesham in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Merthyr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Merthyr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Chesham have a series of home games.
    • Chesham will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Chesham to win the game is with odds 1.8.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Chesham won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesham United - Merthyr Town were as follows:
    09.09.2023 Merthyr Town - Chesham United 1:3
    07.03.2023 Chesham United - Merthyr Town 1:2
    11.02.2023 Merthyr Town - Chesham United 0:1
    Latest results of Chesham United
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    English Southern League South Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walton & Hersham ✔ 40294793:405391
    2Gloucester ✔ 40247991:494279
    3Farnham ✔ 38238785:483777
    4Poole402011975:472871
    5Berkhamsted402091160:491169
    6Sholing401714968:511765
    7Chertsey4018101262:501264
    8Havant & W401771677:651258
    9Uxbridge4015121370:66457
    10Gosport391761665:66-157
    11Bracknell401591667:66154
    12Plymouth Parkway401481856:76-2050
    13Hanwell Town391391754:59-548
    14Basingstoke401391857:68-1148
    15Wimborne3911131552:57-546
    16Yate Town4012101852:60-846
    17Evesham4011131650:59-946
    18Taunton391281962:70-844
    19Weymouth401282048:68-2044
    20Dorchester409121948:75-2739
    21Hungerford ✔ 409102147:86-3937
    22Tiverton ✔ 38533036:100-6418

          Promotion ~ National League South
          Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Walton & Hersham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League South
    Gloucester is Qualified for Southern League Premier South (Play Offs )
    Farnham is Qualified for Southern League Premier South (Play Offs )
    Hungerford is Relegated to
    Tiverton is Relegated to