Torquay United vs Chesham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 39

Match Stats

Yellow cards
10
Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Oliyide K. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Fish S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Young A. 🟥,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Hayfield D. ,
  • 77', Tizzard W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Torquay United
40.4%
Draw
25.1%
Chesham United
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 24.8% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 25.2% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torquay United's form might have worsened.
  • Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesham United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torquay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Torquay United - Chesham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.83)
    3.68
    (3.7)
    2.67
    (3.69)
    8.4%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Torquay United - Chesham United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Torquay (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 3.
    • Torquay has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chesham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chesham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Torquay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Torquay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Torquay United - Chesham United were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Chesham United - Torquay United 1:0
    05.04.2025 Torquay United - Chesham United 1:2
    26.08.2024 Chesham United - Torquay United 2:3
    Latest results of Torquay United
    Latest results of Chesham United
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Worthing432391189:484178
    2Dorking432391175:552078
    3Torquay432281379:582174
    4Ebbsfleet4321111169:511874
    5Hornchurch4221101174:601473
    6Maidenhead432191364:402472
    7Hemel Hempstead432191349:45472
    8Chesham432181464:471771
    9Maidstone4320101367:472070
    10Weston-super-Mare422171458:471170
    11Chelmsford422081466:551168
    12Dag & Red4317121457:52563
    13AFC Totton421761952:69-1757
    14Horsham FC4214131549:49055
    15Tonbridge4314121756:60-454
    16Slough431492063:75-1251
    17Dover4313102057:69-1249
    18Hampton & Richmond4313102054:67-1349
    19Salisbury4313102045:60-1549
    20Farnborough4312112062:84-2247
    21Chippenham431182449:73-2441
    22Enfield Town ✔ 438132250:78-2837
    23Bath428132140:69-2937
    24Eastbourne Boro ✔ 43892653:83-3033

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Enfield Town is Relegated to
    Eastbourne Boro is Relegated to