Result
2:1
13/08/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Attacks |
---|
95 | 102 |
Dangerous Attacks |
---|
59 | 35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Dobra A. ⚽, Quigley J. (A),
- 38', 1 - 1, Thompson L. ⚽, Brown D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tanton D. ↓, Daley-Campbell V. ↑,
- 59', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 60', Cashin E. ↓, Nelson C. ↑,
- 60', Goudmijn K. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
- 60', Wilson K. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
- 65', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
- 67', Naylor T. ↓, Grimes J. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Jackson K. ⚽,
- 69', Brown D. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
- 73', Quigley J. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 73', Banks O. ↓, Akinola T. ↑,
- 86', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derby County 58.4% | Draw 23.7% | Chesterfield 18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Derby County - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↑ (1.54) |
4.07 ↓ (4.15) |
5.22 ↓ (5.87) |
4.9% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Derby County - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 24 - 80%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 65.7% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Derby is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Chesterfield is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Derby is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Derby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Chesterfield?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Derby County?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Chesterfield were as follows:
24.07.2024
Derby County
-
Chesterfield
0:4
19.07.2023
Chesterfield
-
Derby County
0:1
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Chesterfield
Draw
PreliminaryFinal1 | Accrington | Oldham | |
2 | Barnet | Newport | 2 : 3 |