Walsall vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two
Football English League Two Walsall - Chesterfield
Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
turkeyTurkeyExxen, TV 8
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra, Spireites+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.71
Ball Possession
24%76%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
60% (108/181)86% (501/585)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.331.17
Total shots
812
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2129
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
715
Passes
60% (108/181)86% (501/585)
Long passes
43% (20/46)49% (40/81)
Passes in final third
53% (51/97)63% (97/155)
Crosses
13% (2/16)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.451.47
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
157
Tackles
57% (8/14)33% (4/12)
Duels won
5447
Clearances
4727
Interceptions
102
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.172.33
Goals prevented
0.110.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Asiimwe N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', Metcalfe J. 🟨,
  • 60', Allen T. 🟨,
  • 62', Chang A. ↓, Comley B. ↑,
  • 62', Matt J. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,
  • 65', Fleck J. 🟨,
  • 67', Metcalfe J. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
  • 67', Gordon L. ↓, Sparkes J. ↑,
  • 74', Hall G. ↓, Lakin C. ↑,
  • 75', Jellis J. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
  • 75', Mandeville L. ↓, Colclough R. ↑,
  • 76', Banks O. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
  • 76', Dobra A. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Lakin C. ⚽, Adomah A. (A),
  • 82', Naylor T. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Asiimwe N. ↓, Daniels D. ↑,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Dobra A. ⚽, Grigg W. (A),
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Amantchi L. ⚽, Adomah A. (A),
  • 90+6', Amantchi L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Walsall
37.2%		Draw
28%		Chesterfield
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 27.2% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 27.4% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walsall's form might have worsened.
  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Walsall - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.52 ↑
    (2.1)    		 3.35 ↓
    (3.48)    		 2.72 ↓
    (3.42)    		 6.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Walsall - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Walsall will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Walsall: Earing J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Daley-Campbell V. (Hamstring Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Dunkley C. (Neck Injury) Jones M. (Injury) Sheckleford R. (Calf Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Walsall: Farquharson P. (Thigh Injury) Harrison E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Banks O. (Injury) Hobson B. (Injury) Madden P. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Chesterfield were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Chesterfield - Walsall 0:2
    15.02.2025 Walsall - Chesterfield 3:1
    05.10.2024 Chesterfield - Walsall 2:2
    Latest results of Walsall
    11.05.2025 Chesterfield - Walsall 0:2 ✺
    03.05.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Walsall 0:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 Walsall - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺
    21.04.2025 Newport County - Walsall 0:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Walsall - Harrogate Town 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    11.05.2025 Chesterfield - Walsall 0:2 ✺
    03.05.2025 Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 Chesterfield - Morecambe 4:1 ✺
    21.04.2025 Chesterfield - Bradford City 3:3 ✺
    18.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Chesterfield 0:0 ✺
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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