Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (279/364) | 64% (148/230) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (279/364) | 64% (148/230) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 47% (35/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (61/113) | 53% (40/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Dudu ⚽, Enomoto I. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Panthong S. ↓, Phosri S. ↑,
- 46', Kempter M. ↓, Lorenzen M. ↑,
- 55', Victor Cardozo 🟨,
- 61', Yaemsaen S. 🟨,
- 63', Promsawat M. 🟨,
- 68', Saric M. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Khamyok K. ⚽, Tasa K. (A),
- 74', Phutonyong C. ↓, Thinjom S. ↑,
- 74', Chaiman N. ↓, Inprakhon T. ↑,
- 74', Yaemsaen S. ↓, Kannoo S. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Willian Popp ⚽, Khamyok K. (A),
- 76', Willian Popp 🟨,
- 83', Ballini M. ↓, Emaviwe J. ↑,
- 83', Dudu ↓, Iury C. ↑,
- 87', Promsawat M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lorenzen M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Tsonkov S. ↓, Sawatlakhorn W. ↑,
- 90+3', Khamyok K. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
- 90+10', Iury C. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United
50.5% | Draw
25.4% | Chiangrai United
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Chiangrai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Muangthong United - Chiangrai United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.01) |
3.62 ↑
(3.47) |
3.81 ↑
(3.32) |
8.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Muangthong United - Chiangrai United?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Muangthong United will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Muangthong United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Chiangrai United?
Muangthong United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chiangrai United won against Muangthong United?
Chiangrai United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Chiangrai United were as follows:
29.11.2025
Chiangrai United
-
Muangthong United
0:2
08.02.2025
Muangthong United
-
Chiangrai United
2:1
15.12.2024
Chiangrai United
-
Muangthong United
3:1
26.05.2024
Chiangrai United
-
Muangthong United
2:3
13.08.2023
Muangthong United
-
Chiangrai United
0:1
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Chiangrai United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 71:23 | 48 | 66 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33:45 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 19:39 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:39 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
